Daily Market Commentary

Current position for Wednesday: Primary program is Long: 60% Rydex S&P 2x fund. Long/money market program is Long:60% Rydex S&P 2x fund. Hot Money program is Long: 80% Rydex S&P 2x fund. Conservative program is Long: 64% Rydex S&P 2x fund. SuperAlgo program is Long: 80% Rydex S&P 2x fund. Anticipatory Trend program is Long: 48% Rydex S&P 2x Fund. We end the year with a gain in our programs and at or near our best levels of all of 2018. Our Primary program ended the year giving us a 2018 gain of +40% while our SuperAlgo program looks like it has a year's gain of about +118%. With the high volatility we have now moved to 80% of our normal exposure and we have shifted over to the S&P for January. The Market Structure level remains negative and I am expecting more downside later this week. The tweet from the president about a phone call to China and positive discussion regarding tariffs should be take the same way all comments from the president should be taken. Stay cautious. See our long term view, no pass word needed.

Current position for Monday: Primary program is Long: 56.5% Rydex DOW 2x fund. Long/money market program is Long: 56.5% Rydex DOW 2x fund. Hot Money program is Long: 75% Rydex DOW 2x fund. Conservative program is Long: 30% Rydex DOW 2x fund. SuperAlgo program is Long: 75% Rydex DOW 2x fund. Anticipatory Trend program is Long: 45% Rydex DOW 2x Fund. This week brought very good sized gains for all our programs. We shifted into the DOW for the last trading day and will be moving into the S&P for January to eliminate the wash-sale problem. Volatility remains high and we have partially reduced our market exposure. Monday is a shortened trading day for bonds but stocks are normal, this partial holiday can still support a large move. Our long term view was updated last week, no pass word needed.

Current position for Friday: Primary program is Short: 56.5% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund. Hot Money program is Short: 75% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund. SuperAlgo program is Short: 75% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund. Retirement program is Short 45% Inverse Rydex NDX 1x fund. Anticipatory Trend program is Short: 37.5% Inverse Rydex NDX 2x Fund. Long/Money market program is 100% money market. We have gone short at about 75% of our full leveraged rate. Volatility is high and our signal remained strong but negative, as Thursday's NDX market regained its full 3.5% drop from earlier in the day and added another 4 tenths. Our long term view was updated last week, no pass word needed.

Current position for Thursday: Primary program is Long: 37.5% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Long/money market program is Long: 37.5% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Hot Money program is Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Retirement program is 100%* Money Market. SuperAlgo program is Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Anticipatory Trend program is Long: 30% Rydex NDX 2x Fund. Very large jump on Wednesday. We held our long positions except for our conservative program which went to the Money Market. Very large moves like this bring more volatility into the market and there is a very good chance that we will see another 6% move either up or down within the next two weeks and maybe one in each direction. This is a dangerous market and the downside is most likely not over. Our Market Structure level remains negative and along with the high volatility foreshadows more downside and Friday looks like a good time for it to start. Regarding the two stocks I mentioned in my prior post (below) AMZN was up +9.45% and NFLX was up +8.46% Our long term view was updated last week, no pass word needed.

Current position for Wednesday: Primary program is Long: 37.5% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Long/money market program is Long: 37.5% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Hot Money program is Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Retirement program is Long 40%* Rydex NDX 1x fund. SuperAlgo program is Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Anticipatory Trend program is Long: 30% Rydex NDX 2x Fund. We sat out the last two days as the NDX fell 5.5%. Now we have moved back to the long side with a 50% reduced exposure. With six of the last seven days down the market is hitting oversold levels but that alone is not enough to signal an all clear. We have another bottom signal today so I do expect to see the market turn around very soon. Staying in sync with the probabilities is the best bet "long term", and current probabilities are strong.

Shutting the government down is never good but around the holidays it probably does less damage and many government employees might even welcome a few days off at this time of year. But I am not in support of the wall. We don't trade stocks, but as the tech stocks get battered there are two that I see coming back strong. Netflix, (down 44.7% from high),because their service is very superior to every competitor, they have a lot of room to increase their price without loosing many subscribers, they are highly automated , they are creating new content at a rapid rate and it is the one thing people will keep if they find themselves out of work. The second stock is Amazon, (down 34.4% from high) they control retail, can move into other areas like freight for their shipping, lumber for their boxes etc. They are the link between people and their environment and will grow into many other areas. When things turn around these two stocks should have strong rebounds and are positioned for the long term. Merry Christmas. Our long term view was updated last week, no pass word needed.

Current position for Monday: All programs are 100% in the Money Market. Our program gave us a firm "Money Market" signal for Monday as the probabilities are closely divided.

I have produced a table below that compares each of our programs to the S&P and NDX showing both the returns and, more importantly at this point, the draw-downs, (shown as the % drop below the maximum weekly closing prices during 2018). From this you can get a sense of the programs' current behavior under stress and in some fashion the risk involved. The far right column compares actural market exposure, the total changes day by day regardless of market direction. You can see that the S&P has smaller daily changes than the NDX. This % represents raw risk, the higher the % the greater the potential for gain or loss per investment relative to the NDX index. There is a second component of risk and that is the strength of the investment program. How well a program is managed is roughly equal to it's return divided by its % exposure to the markets. The NDX and S&P index returns are connected to the economy with our Long Only program being partial connected; while all of our programs are connected to market volatility. When trying to determine if a program can continue to be viable you must see how it performs in both up and down markets and under both low and high volatility conditions the longer it has been actively traded the better. All our programs came out of the structure of our Primary program which is finishing up its thirteenth year. These are real not hypothetical programs. The amount of potential return is directly related to the amount of risk taken within a specific investment (such as Primary and Hot Money), but you can see that it is only loosely correlated when extended to different types of investments, (such as Long Only, S&P 500 and Anticipatory trend). One thing that is outstanding here is that out Conservative program was able to return 15.7% while only pulling back 2%. Please note these returns do not show our advisor fees. Current volatility is near the top 25% level and yes our bottom indicator was hit again suggesting a very over-sold market. Our long term view was updated this past week, no pass word needed.

index or program	2018 returns to date	Drop from highest weekly close	Overall exposure 2018 as % of NDX
NDX 100	-5.4%	-21%	100%
S&P 500	-9.2%	-18%	72%
Long Only	+8.9%	-10%	61%
Hot Money	+42.5%	-9%	107%
Primary	+32.1%	-7%	82%
SuperAlgo	+101.2%	-7%	140%
Anticipatory Trend	+21.0%	-4%	56%
Conservative	+15.7%	-2%	39%

Current position for Friday: All programs are 100% in the Money Market. Although our probabilities look negative they do not reflect everything that we consider in making a trade and the more things considered the smaller the available sample size. In this case there was enough doubt in Friday's direction to edge the signal into the money market. The market is oversold here as we got a second "long" bottom signal. Our long term view was updated yesterday, no pass word needed.

Current position for Thursday: Primary program is Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Long/money market program is Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Hot Money program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Retirement program is Long 80%* Rydex NDX 1x fund. SuperAlgo program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Anticipatory Trend program is Long: 60% Rydex NDX 2x Fund. The Fed decision to raise rates twice in 2019 rather than three times does nothing to our expectations. The markets were expecting one rate hike next year and that is what will probably happen. The Fed is cautious and a bit slow to respond, not wanting to back track. The market flung itself in both directions after the news as thousands of computers, programmed to be sheep, looked for a trend to follow. Some times the sheep are correct. At 2:52PM most fell off the cliff as the prior low, programmed into them, was breached.... A short term bottom was put in today as recorded in our "bottom" program.. This most likely will provide some sort of support for about a month but consider it temporary. The NDX is now off -0.8% for the year. We are holding our "long" position into Thursday. I expect a milder market going into the end of this year and maybe a bit of a Santa Claus rally. Our long term view was updated today, no pass word needed.

Current position for Tuesday: Primary program is Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Hot Money program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund. SuperAlgo program remained Short****ran out of time, prevented from switching to "long" at the close. We will close this trade at the AM fix.): 100% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund. Retirement program is Long 80% Rydex NDX 1x fund. Anticipatory Trend program is Long: 60% Rydex NDX 2x Fund. Long/Money market program is Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund. There is a strong probability for a move higher on Tuesday. The NDX is now only eight tenths of a percent higher than where it started the year. Our long term view was updated two weeks ago, no pass word needed.

Current position for Monday: Primary program is Short: 75% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund. Hot Money program is Short: 100% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund. SuperAlgo program is Short: 100% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund. Retirement program is Short 60% Inverse Rydex NDX 1x fund. Anticipatory Trend program is Short: 50% Rydex inverse NDX 2x Fund. Long/Money market program is 100% money market. After three days in the money market we have an alignment of influences that should bring the market lower again on Monday. We are fully short in anticipation. There was a pick up in volatility Friday and the market structure level remains negative. The NDX is now lower than it was on January 5, 2018 and the S&P is below its November 24, 2017 level. Markets generally come down quicker than they go up. Our long term view was updated last week, no pass word needed.

Current position for Friday: All programs are 100% in the Money Market. volatility is shrinking but it is too early to tell if the slowdown will continue. At this time we would still continue to expect large moves and it shows in our probability amplitudes on the Forecast page. Trump's troubles seem to have take a back page to the expectations of a break in the China tariffs. Our signals continue to be very mixed, but that should be resolved soon. Our long term view was updated last week, no pass word needed.

Current position for Thursday: All programs are 100% in the Money Market. We are holding our flat position another day. An article in the Financial times spoke of China moving to cut automobile tariffs which probably moved the markets higher. Nothing has changed from my point of view. Our long term view was updated last week, no pass word needed.

Current position for Wednesday: All programs are 100% in the Money Market. The NDX gained almost a third of a percent today after being much higher near the open. We have given back most of last week's gain this week, but all our programs are behaving normally and that is how we like it. Even our most sluggish program is doing three times better than the NDX and our best program is well off the charts. I continue to work on these programs with the goal of reducing risk and enhancing gains. We made some good progress in October and have a few more upgrades to implement this week to improve the overall reliability of our trades. Each day's transaction is comprised of both the probability of being correct and expectations of mean gains and losses adjusted for the current level of volatility. The programs work best when they do not "stretch" to make a trade, but choose the most reliable trades and disregard the rest. We have been doing this for a very long time and our results show it. But even I, from time to time, get caught up in current activity, our programs however, never do, as they continue to chose the best path looking at large amounts of data over the long term. Our long term view was updated last week, no pass word needed.

Current position for Tuesday: Primary program is Short: 75% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund. Hot Money program is Short: 100% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund. SuperAlgo program is Short: 100% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund. Retirement program is Short 60% Inverse Rydex NDX 1x fund. Anticipatory Trend program is Short: 50% Rydex NDX 2x Fund. Long/Money market program is 100% money market. The market started off going lower, then reversed ending over 1% higher. There did not seem to be any news supporting the jump. We are holding our short position into Tuesday. There maybe some positive news coming that we can't see, but if not the downward trend should reinstate itself. Our long term view was updated last week, no pass word needed.

Current position for Monday: Primary program is Short: 75% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund. Hot Money program is Short: 100% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund. SuperAlgo program is Short: 100% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund. Retirement program is Short 60% Inverse Rydex NDX 1x fund. Anticipatory Trend program is Short: 50% Rydex NDX 2x Fund. Long/Money market program is 100% money market. We have moved fully long. The influencing factors that we follow are fully aligned and the probabilities for another down day are strong. Still, outside forces, "news", can divert the market from its expected path. Both SuperAlgo and our most conservative program are at new weekly closing highs. The rest of our programs either gained or closed flat for the week. The long term trend is down and volatility remains high. Expect lower prices. New long term view was updated this week, no pass word needed.

Current position for Friday: SuperAlgo program is Short: 100% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund. Retirement program is Short 60% Inverse Rydex NDX 1x fund. Anticipatory Trend program is Short: 50% Rydex NDX 2x Fund. All others 100% money market. We have moved short in some of our programs for Friday, remaining in the money market for the others. The closing market probabilities are only slightly negative . This past week we are seeing much more in the way of conflicting influences decreasing the reliability of those trades. Most of the money we make is during the times that the influences align, providing a more powerful background driving force to the markets. New long term view was updated yesterday.

Current position for Thursday: All programs are 100% in the Money Market. Sharp drop as traders jump ship from the recent run higher. Hopefully this drop will move the markets back into more normal patterns where our signals will become less conflicted. Our Market Structure level became more negative today reinforcing our expectations of more downside this year and that the long term view was looking lower. Long term view updated today.

Current position for Tuesday: All programs are 100% in the Money Market. As expected the tariffs did not go through, but we don't trade on inside information (and we never have any), also we don't trade on rumor or news. We stick to what we know, numbers. Looking at the charts the declining tops are still in effect and our longer term numbers are still negative. But it was and still is a very impressive rally. Probabilities are leaning to the upside but without that much conviction. After an 8% jump the market is in a high risk area. There should be better opportunities soon. I have held off on adjusting our long term view because the market remains in transition.

Current position for Monday: All programs are 100% in the Money Market. Friday's price action was rather odd behavior prior to a major news release under already shaky conditions and where the market had already made substantial gains for the week. It seems like some information leaked that the tariffs will not go into effect. Just the way it looks. Our probabilities are neutral but amplitudes are more negative for Monday and we moved into the money market. I don't have a clue on which way the tariffs will go, but I think president Trump got in over his head on this one. We will adjust our long term view this weekend, it is looking lower.

Current position for Friday: Primary program is Short: 75% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund. Hot Money program is Short: 100% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund. SuperAlgo program is Short: 100% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund. Retirement program is Short 60% Inverse Rydex NDX 1x fund. Anticipatory Trend program is Short: 50% Rydex NDX 2x Fund. Long/Money market program is 100% money market. We are holding our short position, Our Market Structure level which measures the longer term internals of the market fell further into negative territory. It appears that we are on the negative end of a transition from a bull to bear market. Thursday did not fall as far as expected and I expect that Friday will continue on the path down. Tariffs tax us by increasing the prices of goods so any perceived tax cut the average worker received is being taken away by the tariffs. Tariffs are also inflationary it erodes the buying power of the dollar. The less money people have the spend the worse the economy will do so expect a recession. We will adjust our long term view this week, it is looking lower.

Current position for Thursday: Primary program is Short: 75% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund. Hot Money program is Short: 100% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund. SuperAlgo program is Short: 100% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund. Retirement program is Short 60% Inverse Rydex NDX 1x fund. Anticipatory Trend program is Short: 50% Rydex NDX 2x Fund. Long/Money market program is 100% money market. The NDX managed to climb over 5.9% the past three days while we remained in the money market. The move was generated by news and our programs don't work that way, which makes us uncorrelated with the markets. For Thursday our readings are to the down side with very negative probabilities. We will see if there is upside carry over or a reversal from overly positive enthusiasm. We will adjust our long term view this week, it is looking lower.

Current position for Wednesday: All programs are 100% in the Money Market. We are holding flat for a third day. Our longer term signal has once again turned negative with volatility remaining above the long term average. This combination is negative for the market and more down side should be expected this year. We are waiting for our various influences to align so that we can take a position with greater reliability. If we can't win I don't want to play. We will adjust our long term view this week, it is looking lower.

Current position for Tuesday: All programs are 100% in the Money Market. Although it may have seemed like the markets jumped on no news, behind it was Adobe Analytics' release of the size of online sales gains for this Thanksgiving weekend. That news pushed AMZN up over 4.9%, that was good news. For bad news GM announced over 10,000 job cuts and five factory closings in North America with more outside North America. That pushed GM up over 4.75% for the day. It is sad that the interests of the people and the interest of big business do not always align. The NDX closed up over 2.3% on Monday. It might carry over another day but this market can be dangerous. Our probabilities slid into the negative area and that direction is most likely. Our programs behave independently from the markets and in effect become their own asset class, making them great additions to any portfolio. We will adjust our long term view this week, it is looking lower.

Current position for Monday: All programs are 100% in the Money Market. The market turned lower in pre-market trading on Friday and mostly carried that sentiment over into Friday's reduced trading session. Our signal was somewhat unstable Friday and we moved fully into the money market. For the week the S&P was down -3.8%, and the NDX was -4.9%. We also got hit to a degree but lost less, with our most conservative program unblemished. SuperAlgo remains up over +100% ytd. The NDX is up +2% ytd. We will adjust our long term view this coming week, it is looking lower.

Current position for Wednesday: Primary program is Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Long/money market program is Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Hot Money program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Retirement program is Long 80%* Rydex NDX 1x fund. SuperAlgo program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Anticipatory Trend program is Long: 60% Rydex NDX 2x Fund. Our SuperAlgo program gained on Tuesday's sharp market decline and is now once again well above +100% for 2018. Our other programs hid in the money market Tuesday but all programs are "long" for Wednesday. I was wrong about the prior NDX low as holding, the NDX sliced right through it, and closed beneath it. At the same time our Market Structure Level continued to climb, which is very good as it will provide the needed push for the next rally. Wednesday the market should go higher, at least according to our very positive probabilities, though it is struggling in the aftermarket. Further out in time it is harder to say as I did not get a "bottom" signal and the potential support of the prior low was toasted. The volatility is growing again, and I expect that to be beneficial to our program. A strong rally appears to be coming very soon. New Long Term forecast was updated on Tuesday.

Current position for Tuesday: SuperAlgo 100% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund. All other programs are 100% in the Money Market. Mike Pence's inability to work with China combined with word of Apple's production cutbacks on all new cell phones sent the market lower all day and well into the closing minutes of the market. Our aggressive SuperAlgo is looking for more downside on Tuesday while our other programs took protection in the money market. Our Market Structure Level did climb into the fully positive range market an internal attitude switch to the positive, though one could not tell by today's large market decline. I expect the intraday low of 6574.75 on the NDX last month will hold. Today could have been the bottom, but more likely it will occur in the next few days. New Long Term forecast just updated today (again).

Current position for Monday: Primary program is Long: 37.5% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Long/money market program is Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Hot Money program is Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Retirement program is 100% Money Market. SuperAlgo program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Anticipatory Trend program is Long: 60% Rydex NDX 2x Fund. We have taken a partial long position for Monday. This market appears to be making a transition from its downward direction and outlook. Volatility is above average but easing. Market Structure Level is climbing but remains in its transition area. Interest rates are falling. Market behavior in transition is usually somewhat positive. If/when this market moves back fully positive it should help our long/money-market program, which is doing well (up 18.3% ytd, not including our 1% annual fee), but is our only program not out performing its 2017 returns. All our other 5 programs are at new all time weekly highs. New Long Term forecast just updated today.

Current position for Friday: All programs are 100% in the Money Market. Neutral for Friday, leaving us with a gain for the week. PG&E lost half its value this week as expected lawsuits come in because of the devastating California fire. This will taint all electric utilities and the utility index. There will be money flowing out of utilities and into other areas that have recently come down in price which should play out over the next few weeks. Money will also go into longer term bonds like the 10 year treasuries whose yield dropped to 3.12 Thursday, from 3.16 the day before. Our Market Structure Level continues to climb reflecting a shift from the negative to the positive regarding stocks. Very soon we will see this "attitude change" push stocks higher. Things are looking better inside the market though they may not be visible on the outside. But the tariffs are still a problem. Shipping going into Long Beach CA has slowed down with dock employees moved from full to part time. Meanwhile, our superAlgo program is now up more than double for a +112.6% ytd gain (less 1.5% annual fee). READ OUR LATEST LONG TERM FORECAST Posted on October 18th.

Current position for Thursday: All programs are 100% in the Money Market. Our signal turned long at the close but too late for placing the trade. We moved to the money market. Wednesday saw a number of reversals starting Tuesday night it went down, turned up in the morning, turned down late morning and up close to noon, then down for the hour prior to the close. Confused market. Our Market Structure level did turn positive and is playing out as expected so a rally should come soon, maybe it will start on Thursday. READ OUR LATEST LONG TERM FORECAST Posted on October 18th.

Current position for Wednesday: Primary program is Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Long/money market program is Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Hot Money program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Retirement program is Long 80%* Rydex NDX 1x fund. SuperAlgo program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Anticipatory Trend program is Long: 60% Rydex NDX 2x Fund. Tuesdays NDX jumped up over 1.5% only to give back 98% of the move by the close. And at the close we upped our exposure back to 100% of normal for Wednesday. From my perspective I see our Market Structure Level now neutral with a good chance of moving back to the positive side. That would mean a longer term shift back to a less bearish and possibly bullish market. It would probably mean that short term the low in the index was put in on October 29th. And along with it I expect a moderate drop in volatility. All of which should be apparent by the end of this week or early next week. In addition I expect to hear some good news on tariffs to push this along. This does not mean we will re-enter a bull market long term, as interest rates still threaten along with expected weakness in growth. Do not take your eye off the ball, we don't. As this becomes more clear we will post another long term forecast. READ OUR LATEST LONG TERM FORECAST Posted on October 18th.

Current position for Tuesday: Primary program is Long: 56% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Long/money market program is Long: 56% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Hot Money program is Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Retirement program is Long 60%* Rydex NDX 1x fund. SuperAlgo program is Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Anticipatory Trend program is Long: 45% Rydex NDX 2x Fund. We continue to make good gains. Our AI enhanced programs like higher volatility as is makes the market easier to read, and this market is working perfectly. For Tuesday we reversed our short position that we held for the past three trading days as I believe the market may have over extended itself. We need to go one day at a time, as always, in order to make sure we stay in sync with the daily probabilities. But I am expecting about two days of upside. The higher the volatility the more important it is to stay nimble. Too early to say if the low put in on October 29 was a short term bottom but the NDX is almost 4% higher than it was then. Please give me a call or email if you are considering opening an account or if you have any questions. .READ OUR LATEST LONG TERM FORECAST Posted on October 18th.

Current position for Monday: Primary program is Short: 56.25% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund. Hot Money program is Short: 75% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund. SuperAlgo program is Short: 75% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund. Retirement program is Short 45% Inverse Rydex NDX 1x fund. Anticipatory Trend program is Short: 37.5% Rydex NDX 2x Fund. Long/Money market program is 100% money market. As we suggested, Friday was a bad market day. Good for our clients, but bad for the buy and hold investors. One problem with down markets is that they decrease the "wealth effect" the overall feeling that everything is fine combined with the willingness to spend. Businesses cut back on expansion and investors cut back on stock buying, leading to further market erosion. The probabilities for Monday are not as one sided and interest rates pulled back a bit, but I still expect to see more on the down-side. Our Hot Money program is now up 52.2% ytd (less 2% annual fees) while out SuperAlgo program closed up 106.7% ytd. (less 1.5% annual fees). The hot money program has a compound rate of return of about 27% / year, since the start of 2015, almost 4 years and because it is time-based diversified the returns are not correlated with the stock market making it an excellent addition to any portfolio. The market's will trade on Veteran's day, but the bond market will be closed. .READ OUR LATEST LONG TERM FORECAST Posted on October 18th.

Current position for Friday: Primary program is Short: 56.25% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund. Hot Money program is Short: 75% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund. SuperAlgo program is Short: 75% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund. Retirement program is Short 45% Inverse Rydex NDX 1x fund. Anticipatory Trend program is Short: 37.5% Rydex NDX 2x Fund. Long/Money market program is 100% money market. Another good day for us bringing our SuperAlgo program's return to more than double in less than a year, for a. +101.4% gain ytd. (less our 1.5% annual fee.). Even our quiet most conservative program is now up 14.2% ytd. (less our 1% annual fee). For Friday we are looking at more down side. The 10 year notes increased their yield to 3.234% the highest I have seen since 2011. There are a number of market drivers leaning on the market and I am expecting a major down day for Friday, but as always news could get in our way. READ OUR LATEST LONG TERM FORECAST Posted on October 18th.

Current position for Thursday: Primary program is Short: 56.25% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund. Hot Money program is Short: 75% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund. SuperAlgo program is Short: 75% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund. Retirement program is Short 45% Inverse Rydex NDX 1x fund. Anticipatory Trend program is Short: 37.5% Rydex NDX 2x Fund. Long/Money market program is 100% money market. Big up-day, probably relief that the Senate remained in Republican hands, pushed our SuperAlgo program up past +99% year-to-date. Yes, I am excited about the possibility that SuperAlgo will close above +100% this year, it is very close. Our signal reversed to a full short. My gut it telling me that there could be some positive follow through on Thursday, at least in the morning, but we go with the signal and the probabilities, which are very negative. There is still a cloud hanging over this market that I do not believe will be washed away with this election. My numbers are still negative, but it may take an extra day to start the ball rolling down hill so if not Thursday look for Friday or Monday to end the enthusiasm. READ OUR LATEST LONG TERM FORECAST Posted on October 18th.

Current position for Wednesday: Primary program is Long: 28.1% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Long/money market program is Long: 37.5% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Hot Money program is Long: 37.5% Rydex NDX 2x fund. SuperAlgo program is Long 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund. All other programs remain in the money market. With the election today, Tuesday we have taken a partial long position at the close. Most likely the Democrats will win the House and lose the Senate which should not substantially change the economy, but it could help keep government spending in check. Since we monitor and adjust to the market forces day by day I don't believe it will have any major effect on our trading other than a possible one or two day surprise. Out longer term outlook is still negative but that could easily change and I will post any new longer term expectations if that is the case. READ OUR LATEST LONG TERM FORECAST Posted on October 18th.

Current position for Tuesday: All programs are 100% in the Money Market. Apple was the main cause of the NDX drop as most other indices were higher. Looks like the election is sending some mixed influences but that should be over soon. We remain in the money market another day. Currently the S&P is up 2.4% ytd and the NDX is up 8.5% ytd. so far, not terrible. READ OUR LATEST LONG TERM FORECAST Posted on October 18th.

Current position for Monday: All programs are 100% in the Money Market. This was a strong week for us as the higher volatility made the markets easier to read and provided increased gains. The combination allowed us to reduce our exposure and still do well. Our Primary program closed the week up 32.8% ytd (less 1% annual fee) and our SuperAlgo program closed up 90.9% ytd (less 1.5% annual fee). Our position is neutral for Monday. With the probabilities balanced I don't have a view towards direction, but with the volatility high I expect turbulence. You will probably hear much positive news this weekend regarding progress on the China trade situation coming from the administration and also much negative economic news from most other sources as the fight for voters minds moves into the last few days prior to midterms. Ignore the news but follow the numbers. Ten year note rates are climbing again, up over the past five days. Volatility remains high. Our Market Structure level is negative. The market looks like it is trying to find solid ground near this level but I do expect to see more down side soon. READ OUR LATEST LONG TERM FORECAST Posted on October 18th.

Current position for Friday: Primary program is Short: 56.25% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund. Hot Money program is Short: 75% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund. SuperAlgo program is Short: 75% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund. Retirement program is Short 45% Inverse Rydex NDX 1x fund. Anticipatory Trend program is Short: 37.5% Rydex NDX 2x Fund. Long/Money market program is 100% money market. Good up day and maybe the last for awhile. After the close Apple came in with disappointing iphone sales sending the aftermarket lower. We were in the money market and moved short just before the close on Thursday. Any downside Friday in this down-trending market could easily carry forward into next week. I believe today was a good opportunity to lighten positions if you only go long as the market had tacked on a three day gain. READ OUR LATEST LONG TERM FORECAST Posted on October 18th.

Current position for Thursday: All programs are 100% in the Money Market. Did not expect Wednesday's up swing to continue so long into the day. It wasn't until the last half hour that we saw the pull back that was expected much earlier. Although the probabilities are leaning to the downside there are some money flow issues that are positive on Thursday so we could see some continuation of the upside even though the trend direction continues to be down. That warrants moving to the money market to protect capital. I expect to see more downside soon. READ OUR LATEST LONG TERM FORECAST Posted on October 18th.

Current position for Wednesday: Primary program is Short: 56.25% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund. Hot Money program is Short: 75% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund. SuperAlgo program is Short: 75% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund. Retirement program is Short 45% Inverse Rydex NDX 1x fund. Anticipatory Trend program is Short: 37.5% Rydex NDX 2x Fund. Long/Money market program is 100% money market. There was a rush to get into the market very close to the market close. The enthusiasm may draw other buyers back in tomorrow for an early rally, still the down side is probably not over. Our signal turned short but the probabilities are not overwhelming negative suggesting that we may end up on the wrong side of a rally. Volatility remains high and the market remains "jumpy", continued caution is advised. I wonder what Bruce Springsteen thinks about Donald Trump's plan to eliminate automatic citizenship for those "Born in the USA". READ OUR LATEST LONG TERM FORECAST Posted on October 18th.

Current position for Tuesday: Primary program is Long: 56% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Long/money market program is Long: 56% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Hot Money program is Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Retirement program is Long 60%* Rydex NDX 1x fund. SuperAlgo program is Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Anticipatory Trend program is Long: 45% Rydex NDX 2x Fund. The market may have put in a short term low on Monday when it was off over -4%(NDX). We reversed our position for Tuesday. Probabilities are strong for some upside on Tuesday and then maybe some base building. Our Market Structure level remains negative but climbing towards positive, volatility is high enough to be dangerous and interest rates have come down over the past three weeks. Overall I expect a pause in the panic this week. READ OUR LATEST LONG TERM FORECAST Posted on October 18th.

Current position for Monday: Primary program is Short: 56.25% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund. Hot Money program is Short: 75% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund. SuperAlgo program is Short: 75% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund. Retirement program is Short 45% Inverse Rydex NDX 1x fund. Anticipatory Trend program is Short: 37.5% Rydex NDX 2x Fund. Long/Money market program is 100% money market. The market is firmly in its new negative mode and this should continue for awhile. This is not a buy and hold market and not a buy on the dip market. As far as I can tell this market is headed south until the negative conditions change. For now volatility is increasing making the market more dangerous. On the positive side the interest rates on the 10 year notes have fallen since they peaked on October 8th and our Market Structure Level, though negative, is slowly becoming less so, repairing itself as the market makes new lows. Monday's market should continue lower following Friday's lead, perhaps testing Friday's low, but the futures gained after the close. We can't get every day right but we have been able to get the majority of them correct allowing us to make long term profits. We make every attempt to move in the direction of the probabilities, adjusting daily to take advantage of "time based diversification" which helps insure that we are not caught on the wrong side of an extended downdraft. If you are looking for safety and diversification add our most conservative program to your portfolio it is only about 40% as volatile as the NDX, never leveraged and spends much of its time in the money market, it is up 12.3% year to date (less our 1% fee). READ OUR LATEST LONG TERM FORECAST Posted on October 18th.

Current position for Friday: All programs are 100% in the Money Market. Considering the recent events, Thursday's market was a strong recovery from Wednesday's large drop. Depending upon the method used we have two strong but opposing points of view for Friday's market and have chosen to remain in the money market with preservation of capital making the most sense. The intermediate market direction appears to be down and that usually results in downward pressure going into the weekend as traders worry about more bad news. This time we have a serial bomber, a divisive president and an angry press adding to the disarray. This continues to be a dangerous market. READ OUR LATEST LONG TERM FORECAST Posted on October 18th.

Current position for Thursday: All programs are 100% in the Money Market. We have a mixed signal for Thursday and moved to the money market. Tesla had very good numbers after the close and the stock jumped more than 7% this could encourage some tech buying. From my view point we have not hit bottom and will continue to step forward with caution. As you can see, the daily changes can be substantial. Wednesday's large drop pushed our Conservative program and our Anticipatory Trend program back to their highs for the year since we were in the inverse funds. Only our Long/money market program got left out of Wednesday's push but that program is still up over 15% for the ytd. Volatility remains on the high side and interest rates, though lower, are still too high for easy sailing while other conditions are negative. There could be some bad follow through on Friday if there is any negative news, as fear of the weekend starts to take hold. Dangerous conditions remain in effect. READ OUR LATEST LONG TERM FORECAST Posted on October 18th.

Current position for Wednesday: Primary program is Short: 56.25% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund. Hot Money program is Short: 75% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund. SuperAlgo program is Short: 75% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund. Retirement program is Short 45% Inverse Rydex NDX 1x fund. Anticipatory Trend program is Short: 37.5% Rydex NDX 2x Fund. Long/Money market program is 100% money market. Large drop (-2,9%) and recovery today with the NDX ending lower by three tenths. We are looking for a continuation of the drop on Wednesday and have taken a short position with some reduction in exposure. The wild swings are unwelcome but overall the market is behaving in a more predictable manner than it was a few weeks ago. READ OUR NEW LONG TERM FORECAST.

Current position for Tuesday: All programs are 100% in the Money Market. Sometimes it is skill, sometimes luck. Monday falls into the luck category. Shanghai's 4% jump overnight may have led to speculation that the tariff war may lessen pushing the NDX higher. But by the close our probabilities were more negative and our signal remained flat. We moved to the sidelines. READ OUR NEW LONG TERM FORECAST.

Current position for Monday: Primary program is Long: 40% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Long/money market program is Long: 40% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Hot Money program is Long: 54% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Retirement program is Long 43%* Rydex NDX 1x fund. SuperAlgo program is Long: 54% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Anticipatory Trend program is Long: 32% Rydex NDX 2x Fund. The market slipped in the last five minutes of trading on Friday leaving us in a long position instead of money market for Monday. And for Monday it does not look good. With our indicators now expecting a falling intermediate to long term market our money market days are more likely to end lower. The Trump administration is proceeding to end the nuclear arms treaty with Russia. Anything that causes worry will cause more problems for the stock market. Our efforts under these conditions, as the markets transition from happy days to concern, is to trim our market exposure and are temporarily trade only our most reliable signals. A big part of making money is to avoid unnecessary risk. I corrected value for the Primary program ytd posted in this comments section on October 12 (see below). READ OUR NEW LONG TERM FORECAST.

Current position for Friday: Primary program is Long: 40% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Long/money market program is Long: 40% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Hot Money program is Long: 54% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Retirement program is Long 43%* Rydex NDX 1x fund. SuperAlgo program is Long: 54% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Anticipatory Trend program is Long: 32% Rydex NDX 2x Fund. Though it was a bad down day for the market we were only partially affected, as two of our programs were in the money market and the rest were partially exposed. Overall we continue to have a much stronger year that the market and now our Market Structure level has turned negative. This is important especially combined with the higher volatility that we are experiencing. The party appears to be over for the markets. This could change if three things happen and the volatility drops. The elections do not further discourage the traders, tariffs are eliminated and the Fed does not go wild on raising interest rates. Not much chance of the first three things all happening, maybe we get one of them. READ OUR NEW LONG TERM FORECAST.

Current position for Thursday: Primary program is Long: 20% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Long/money market program is Long: 27% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Hot Money program is Long: 27% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Retirement program is 100% Money Market. SuperAlgo program is Long: 54% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Anticipatory Trend program is 100% Money Market. Volatility has moved up into the area where we can not only expect to find more down days, but the potential is now there for a major down path. As long at the volatility remains high there is no easily forecast path higher, it is not safe to buy and hold, it only makes sense to go day by day. And going day by day also means avoiding the market when there is not clear direction. Today we have a partial signal under a higher volatility condition. This is our first position this week. We were in the market only two days last week but by being selective we made money.

Current position for Wednesday: All programs are 100% in the Money Market. Big jump on Tuesday with little going on to point to. Netflix had a big earnings number and jumped in the aftermarket which should encourage the NDX higher. Chasing a big up-day is usually not wise but it looks like that is where the market is headed. Our program is independent of the market we are time based diversified from the market and follow our own course.

Current position for Tuesday: All programs are 100% in the Money Market. The volatility continues to climb past the long term average. As it goes higher the chances for a continuation of the uptrend diminish. We are staying on the sidelines another day but it does look like the market will continue lower on Tuesday following the drop on Monday. The aftermarket is telling a different story as there is a moderate rebound in the aftermarket as of this writing and the probabilities are not that one sided.

Current position for Monday: All programs are 100% in the Money Market. The market is transitioning from low to high volatility and we are running in a conservativea mode during this transition. Most likely the market will go lower on Monday partially reversing Friday's large gain. Normally a Monday's market would follow Friday's direction. Volatility is now mid range average. All our programs gained for the week with SuperAlgo up a bit over 1% and a 74.6% gain for the ytd. And our Primary program up about 0.8% on the week and 22.9% (corrected) for the ytd. This compares to the NDX down -3.3% for the week and up 11.9% ytd. and the S&P lower by -4.1% and up 3.9% for the ytd. Historically our programs have greater reliability under higher volatility conditions as higher volatility makes the markets easier to read due to the larger daily changes. I expect a recovery to higher levels over the following few months unless we see overall volatility continue to grow.

Current position for Friday: Primary program is Long: 56% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Long/money market program is Long: 56% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Hot Money program is Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Retirement program is Long 75%* Rydex NDX 1x fund. SuperAlgo program is Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Anticipatory Trend program is Long: 45% Rydex NDX 2x Fund. Both interest rates and oil prices fell on Thursday. The NDX swung across the zero line a number of times and ended down over 1%. The action indicates that this could be a plateau level and the aftermarket seems to confirm with a gain of about 1.5%. The drop over the past five days is significant in that it came along with very low volatility.

Current position for Thursday: Primary program is Long: 56% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Long/money market program is Long: 56% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Hot Money program is Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Retirement program is Long 75%* Rydex NDX 1x fund. SuperAlgo program is Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Anticipatory Trend program is Long: 45% Rydex NDX 2x Fund. By tightening our standards for exposure we avoided one of the largest drops in the market this year as the NDX fell 4.44%. For Thursday we moved back in on the positive side as the probabilities became more supportive. But we applied a 25% reduction in exposure as the higher recent volatility called for a reduction. The aftermarket continued to fall as expected but as of this writing had recovered more than half of the drop.

Current position for Wednesday: All programs are 100% in the Money Market. Probabilities are only slightly in favor of the upside for Wednesday and we temporarily pushed the requirements for trading a bit higher during these current market conditions. We are always considering the risk reward ratio for each trade so basically we just raised the bar a little. We already get better than average gains with significantly less than average risk (Primary Program), and now I am looking into a way to achieve the goal of greater than average gains with a smoother growth curve.

Current position for Tuesday: All programs are 100% in the Money Market. The NDX fell then gained back 65% of the drop. Tuesday could easily go either way as the market has a tendency to rebound after three days down, but the treasuries did not trade on Monday so there could be some distortions built up over the last three days. Our signal moved us into the money market. Looks like the hedge funds and mutual funds have taken this opportunity to lighten up on the tech sector. This should not impact us as we move in both directions. My longer term view remains positive until I see move larger changes in volatility.

Current position for Friday: Primary program is Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Long/money market program is Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Hot Money program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Retirement program is Long 100%* Rydex NDX 1x fund. SuperAlgo program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Anticipatory Trend program is Long: 60% Rydex NDX 2x Fund. This was a bad week for us but overall we continue to do well ytd and as weeks go we had three weeks this year larger than the size of this negative one, but I never like to see a bad day and always grind through my program to see if there is something that I missed that could have reduced the impact. And there was one thing that I could run back over the past 25 years to improve the accuracy. Nothing major but as the program matures there is less and less that can make a major improvement. So the program continues to evolve. After the review I am satisfied that all is well program-wise. This is long term investing one day at a time our flexibility enables us to avoid the continuous drops or recessions but we do have some short term tumbles Expect to see some bad days and look at the program over time. We remain fully long, the volatility was very low andt even the past two days it remains on the low side.. Tax reductions, if passed on to the workers, will help sustain business growth into next year, tariffs and higher interest rates will hurt it. The next week should show some kind of recovery then later on another retest of the low. If you haven't seen our recent long term forecast click on the longer term projections no pass word is needed.

Current position for Friday: Primary program is Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Long/money market program is Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Hot Money program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Retirement program is Long 100%* Rydex NDX 1x fund. SuperAlgo program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Anticipatory Trend program is Long: 60% Rydex NDX 2x Fund. Possibly the large change in the yield in the ten year note on Wednesday set the market off on a downward leg. This was followed by some additional increase in yield on Thursday and maybe more important for the NDX a published article by Bloomberg stating that Chinese agents put spy micro chips into server boards used by Apple and other major corporations, Apple and other denied the report but it sent the NDX lower. From my perspective we remain under low volatility conditions, and the interest rates have not moved enough to crush the current positive business climate. I need to see if there are more large daily changes, so far the volatility remains low even with the roughly -2% move today. We are holding our fully long position, I realize that there could be more negative carryover on Friday but we will, like always go day by day. There have been eleven days this year where the NDX fell more than -2%. As a group they have not hurt us. If you haven't seen our recent long term forecast click on the longer term projections no pass word is needed.

Current position for Thursday: Primary program is Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Long/money market program is Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Hot Money program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Retirement program is Long 100%* Rydex NDX 1x fund. SuperAlgo program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Anticipatory Trend program is Long: 60% Rydex NDX 2x Fund. Our Anticipatory trend finally kicked in and we have gone fully long. I expect to see a sharper rally over near term starting on Thursday but we can never be 100% certain. The recent slow climb may have drained some of the energy, hopefully there will be enough left to make some sharp gains. This morning two early economic reports started the market off with a push higher but the enthusiasm did not hold and the market retraced most of the earlier gains. Correction for October 2 comments: Hot money was show to be at 50% short. Actually it was at 100% short over night and reduced to 50% short at the morning fix. If you haven't seen our recent long term forecast click on the longer term projections no pass word is needed.

Current position for Wednesday: Primary program is Short: 37.5% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund. Hot Money program is Short: 50% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund. SuperAlgo program is Short: 100% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund. All other programs are 100% money market. We moved partially to the short side for Wednesday. We have not had a strong signal in over two weeks, while the market chattered but continued higher. Volatility continues to fall and the potential for a strong rally is expected. If you haven't seen our recent long term forecast click on the longer term projections no pass word is needed.

Current position for Tuesday: All programs are 100% in the Money Market. The NDX made a new all time high at 7700.56 on the NAFTA news, then pulled back closing with a small gain. Our Market Structure level remains pinned at the highest level, telling me that there is more upside to come but the low volatility does not give us very much to work with and we will not expose ourselves to the market without a strong signal to side or the other. We will wait for a stronger signal. If you haven't seen our recent long term forecast click on the longer term projections no pass word is needed.

Current position for Monday: All programs are 100% in the Money Market. The NDX gained about 1% this week as the S&P fell a little. We were only partially invested but unfortunately spent two days on the wrong side of the market. A more positive force should come into play next week. Perhaps starting with Monday, since the first day of the month normally has positive tendencies. We are waiting for a stronger signal and that may come at Monday's close. Volatility remains low. Most interesting news article of the day: The administration forecasts a 7degree Fahrenheit increase in average temperature by the year 2100, yes I said administration. We posted a new Long Term forecast earlier in the week, so take a look, it puts the recent news together with current conditions and gives an expectation for the NDX over the next six months.

Current position for Friday: Primary program is Short: 37.5% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund. Hot Money program is Short: 50% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund. SuperAlgo program is Short: 100% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund. All other programs are 100% money market. We are holding our position. Nothing to add and nothing has changed. We posted a new Long Term forecast yesterday so take a look, no pass word required, it puts the recent news together with current conditions and gives an expectation for the NDX over the next six months.

Current position for Thursday: Primary program is Short: 37.5% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund. Hot Money program is Short: 50% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund. SuperAlgo program is Short: 100% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund. All other programs are 100% money market. Another quarter point increase by the Fed. Traders used it to push the NDX up about 1% then selling came in and erased the gain. We are holding our partial short position another day. Our Market Structure level is at its highest point and holding, ready to provide the thrust needed for another shot higher very soon assuming that there is nothing of a strong negative nature to cause trouble. We posted a new Long Term forecast today so take a look, it puts the recent news together with current conditions and gives an expectation for the NDX over the next six months. Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Current position for Wednesday: Primary program is Short: 37.5% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund. Hot Money program is Short: 50% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund. SuperAlgo program is Short: 100% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund. All other programs are 100% money market. The news of the jump in consumer confidence this morning pushed the NDX a little higher as the other markets slipped. We are holding our position. The jump in consumer confidence does support our thinking that although we are close to the end of the bull run there is still room to go higher. Since we approach the long term view one-day-at-a-time. We do not expect to over stay the market on the long side and we do not expect to engage in heavy shorting too soon. Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Current position for Tuesday: Primary program is Short: 37.5% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund. Hot Money program is Short: 50% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund. SuperAlgo program is Short: 100% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund. All other programs are 100% money market. This is our first short position since July, and it is a partial one. The low volatility conditions indicate that the market remains optimistic and therefore shorting may not have the support we would like to see, however the indicators are leaning in the down direction for Tuesday. Since tariffs effect the poor disproportionately they will increase the expenses associated with increased crime and sickness. So more costs for police, fire and medical care. These costs are not considered by the pro tariff thinkers and will unfortunately descend upon our cities. And of course no matter how rich you are there is the increased risk of random acts of theft and violence. Even the few who will benefit from a recession are probably not looking forward to it. We will get through the initial phases of the tariffs but with the economy now in its ninth year and interest rates climbing we are getting closer to the end of the bull run. Still, another rally seems to be only days away. Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Current position for Monday: All programs are 100% in the Money Market. Choppiness continues as the NDX reversed itself for the 7th time in 8 days. Good chance that Monday will slip a little lower with a recovery on Tuesday. Our Market Structure has climbed to a sufficient level to indicate that a rally will most likely start next week. The S&P and DOW have made new highs and the NDX should follow. Volatility remains low. The NDX fell this past week while all of our programs showed small gains. To make money you must first avoid losing money. Tariffs go into the government's pocket, while the lower and middle classes, who spend most of their income, pay higher prices for their goods. It is a stealth way to help pay for the recent high end tax cuts. Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Current position for Friday: Primary program is Long: 37.5% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Long/money market program is Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Hot Money program is Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Retirement program is 100% money market. SuperAlgo program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Anticipatory Trend program is 100% Money market. The S&P sector indexes are being reworked and that will mean some extra trading in the heavy weight tech stocks. This could cause some problems, but maybe not, since the trading is not confined to a single day. Probabilities are getting stronger and we took a partial long position. Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Current position for Thursday: All programs are 100% in the Money Market. The market is in a choppy period as it pulls back and regroups for another run higher. Thursday looks a little better than Wednesday and may be able to show a gain under the current low volatility conditions but we will wait for a more clear picture. Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Current position for Wednesday: All programs are 100% in the Money Market. We got the bounce Tuesday, but it does not look that promising for Wednesday so we have moved back into the cover of the money market. Today's nice gain pushed our SuperAlgo program up past 90% ytd. Volatility has moved up mildly and though it remains low we may find more shorting opportunities coming soon. Our Market Structure level climbed off the transition area and is indicating a rebuilding of resources to make the next push higher. Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Current position for Tuesday: Primary program is Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Long/money market program is Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Hot Money program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Retirement program is Long 100%* Rydex NDX 1x fund. SuperAlgo program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Anticipatory Trend program is Long: 60% Rydex NDX 2x Fund. We moved back fully long. The market reflected Trump's call for tariffs and there may be more of a confirmation later today, but most of the damage should be done. I would have liked to have seen a bit more of a drop and maybe a greater jump in the VIX but this should be enough for a partial bounce back on Tuesday. Volatility and interest rates remain low even though the 10 year note ended a hair over 3% on Monday. Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Current position for Monday: All programs are 100% in the Money Market. After an early positive start to the markets Bloomberg reported that Trump had told aides to go forward with the $200 billion in tariffs on China. That bit of news sent the markets lower. We have moved into the money market for Monday. Aside from the bad tariff news we had a good week as all our programs gained. Our Market Structure level remains positive and at the top of the transition area while volatility remains low. Expect some choppiness with the next directional move probably higher. Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Current position for Tuesday: Primary program is Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Long/money market program is Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Hot Money program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Retirement program is Long 100%* Rydex NDX 1x fund. SuperAlgo program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Anticipatory Trend program is Long: 60% Rydex NDX 2x Fund. We have moved fully long. Our Anticipatory trend level has been falling the past few days which normally sends the markets higher immediately, but perhaps this time it just trimmed the fall. Part of the recent drop could be fear of Trump adding more tariffs or the opposite fear,Trump being removed from office. In either case interest rates and volatility remain low and the dollar remains strong. A strong dollar represents faith in the country's leadership, so I don't see anything scary financially here for the short term. Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Current position for Monday: Primary program is Long: 37.5% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Long/money market program is Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Hot Money program is Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Retirement program is 100% money market. SuperAlgo program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Anticipatory Trend program is 100% Money market. Tech stocks sent the NDX lower again with us in tow. The S&P and the NDX have now fallen for four straight days. Traders generally start to nibble after three down days so we should see some support on Monday, even though Monday generally follows Friday's lead. This was a low volatility four day fall and should be able to attract buyers however our signal was not very strong and we are only partially long for Monday. Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Current position for Thursday: Primary program is Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Long/money market program is Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Hot Money program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Retirement program is Long 100%* Rydex NDX 1x fund. SuperAlgo program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Anticipatory Trend program is Long: 60% Rydex NDX 2x Fund. With a full range of programs based on risk levels Wednesday saw the Conservative and Anticipatory trend programs safe in the Money Market, the Primary program had a loss only 75% of the index drop. Hot Money and Long Only the same loss as the index and our aggressive SuperAlgo was hit twice as hard as the index. The NDX took the biggest smack with the Dow actually up for the day. Twitter and Netflix each lost over -6%. One item that may have been missed by some but probably weighed on the market was a report in the Wall Street Journal that the US trade deficit posted its biggest monthly increase in about three and a half years. The first seven months of this year show the largest deficit in a decade. Tariffs don't work, though Trump may be playing from a strong hand the US won't get by unscathed. Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Current position for Wednesday: Primary program is Long: 37.5% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Long/money market program is Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Hot Money program is Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Retirement program is 100% money market. SuperAlgo program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Anticipatory Trend program is 100% Money market. Moderate pull back on Tuesday as worries over tariffs continue. Although it looks like most of the news is bad I do not see it reflected in the market price movement. Volatility is low and our Market Structure level is back to its highest point telling us that there is strong potential for more buying. Wednesday looks positive for the NDX less so for the S&P. I am expecting another surge to new highs in the NDX most likely next week, but as always, we will move one day at a time. Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Current position for Tuesday: All programs are 100% in the Money Market. We are spending more time in the money market as is the case when the volatility drops. Friday's NDX rocked back and forth about the zero line then closed positive. We are trading less but continue to make good gains when we are in the market. Our Market Structure level is only one step from the high which indicates that there should be more money going into the market very soon. The uptrend should continue. Have a good and safe holiday. Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Current position for Friday: All programs are 100% in the Money Market. We have another toss up for Friday and this time there may not be the same positive enthusiasm that we had earlier in the week. Earnings reports are mostly over and the thought of three days of tweeting over the holiday may cause investors to lighten up. Still the market is doing very well and the path continues to looks higher giving the nod to the upside. SuperAlgo will close the week up over +91% ytd. We will wait for a stronger signal. Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Current position for Thursday: Primary program is Long: 37.5% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Long/money market program is Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Hot Money program is Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Retirement program is 100% money market. SuperAlgo program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Anticipatory Trend program is 100% Money market. The market popped higher supported by news of an upward revised GDP. The NDX jumped more than I expected. We are holding the same partial long position for Thursday. Daily changes remain in the comfort range and our Market Structure level has moved back up into an area which indicates that there could be more upside coming. SuperAlgo program now up over +92% ytd. Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Current position for Wednesday: Primary program is Long: 37.5% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Long/money market program is Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Hot Money program is Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Retirement program is 100% money market. SuperAlgo program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Anticipatory Trend program is 100% Money market. We moved back into the market with a partial "long" position. We are required to place our transaction prior to the close but there was some buying at the close that I did not like. That buying leaves us in more of a toss up position where the market is less predictable. Hopefully the low volatility can carry the market higher one more day and the news is optimistic. Probabilities look about even. Our SuperAlgo program is now up +88% ytd. Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Current position for Tuesday: All programs are 100% in the Money Market. A good day in the markets. This market behavior could continue since it is more of a stealth climb than a wild ride. We, however, are very cautious and make every attempt to avoid trouble while also shooting for large gains, so we stick to the programs. Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Current position for Monday: Primary program is Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Long/money market program is Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Hot Money program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Retirement program is Long 100%* Rydex NDX 1x fund. SuperAlgo program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Anticipatory Trend program is Long: 60% Rydex NDX 2x Fund. In the absence of bad news I expect to see a new all time high in the NDX on Monday but I do not see the Market Structure in a position to carry it very much higher at this time. Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Current position for Friday: All programs are 100% in the Money Market. Another day with the market mostly unchanged. Very small change days make it difficult for anyone to make money, for one, there isn't much money to be made. For us it makes the markets more difficult to read because there is little conviction and the markets can be more easily swayed by news items as they happen. In addition we have a mixed signal so we are moving to the sidelines and ready to jump back in at any time. We have a small gain for the week in all programs. Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Current position for Thursday: Primary program is Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Long/money market program is Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Hot Money program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Retirement program is Long 100%* Rydex NDX 1x fund. SuperAlgo program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Anticipatory Trend program is Long: 60% Rydex NDX 2x Fund. We are holding our fully long position into Thursday. I like the slow grinding move higher we saw today especially in the face of some disruptive political action. It should continue, but our Market Structure level has drifted down telling us that there could be less enthusiasm for stock purchases going forward next week and for awhile. For the very near term we should see a new all time high in the NDX. The RUT made one today and the S&P is only a few tenths away while the NDX needs a little over 1%. Recently we lost the only hardware store in town after more than thirty eight years. Separately, Lowes is closing its chain of OSH hardware stores. Meanwhile some hardware and tool stores seem to be doing great. Harbor Freight has been opening over 100 stores per year for the last three years. So while high real estate prices are pushing up rents there is still a place for well thought out and well run businesses in the right categories. Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Current position for Wednesday: Primary program is Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Long/money market program is Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Hot Money program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Retirement program is Long 100%* Rydex NDX 1x fund. SuperAlgo program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Anticipatory Trend program is Long: 60% Rydex NDX 2x Fund. The markets showed small gains but after the close the news that Paul Manafort was found guilty and that Michael Cohen admitted that Donald Trump directed him to pay off a porn star "for the principal purpose of influencing" the election, caused the markets to go lower. Unfortunately we can't forecast the news but pretty much the markets expected these announcements. Donald trump's base does not care and this type of news should not impact corporate economics. If it influences Mr. Trump to keep a lower profile it will be beneficial to the markets who are struggling to make more headway under the tariffs that can pop up at any tweet. Venezuela's economy collapsed over the weekend with another major devaluation of their currency against the dollar. Since 2012 the Bolivar lost over 90% of its value five times. So with that history there is very little economic contagion to the rest of the world. On a better note our Emails are functioning again. Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Current position for Tuesday: All programs are 100% in the Money Market. Another day with the market mostly unchanged. Our Market structure is sending a positive message but there are some opposing influences and the flat daily changes are suggesting a lack of conviction for the present. We also have insufficient historical data under these conditions. Please contact me at palresh1@gmail.com or call. Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Current position for Monday: All programs are 100% in the Money Market. The NDX closed just a bit above even for the day. It looks like the market is trying to decide which way to go. The NDX dropped about .4% for the week and is still in a position to go higher but we will wait for our signal. Volatility is low a healthy sign. We are still struggling with our email and I hope it gets resolved this weekend. Everything else is fine. Please contact me at palresh1@gmail.com Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Current position for Friday: All programs are 100% in the Money Market. The NDX started with a reasonable gain that was cut in half by the close. The Dow on the other hand closed with a strong gain. Often the markets realign after a day where a specific index climbs or falls a substantial amount and another one doesn't so the NDX could show some upside. On the other had our probabilities do not look good and our signal triggered a move out of the index and into the money market. Our two out of three winning days this week was not enough to cover the downfall on Wednesday. We had some email trouble early Thursday, I expect it to be fully operational by Thursday night. Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Current position for Tuesday: Primary program is Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Long/money market program is Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Hot Money program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Retirement program is Long 100%* Rydex NDX 1x fund. SuperAlgo program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Anticipatory Trend program is Long: 60% Rydex NDX 2x Fund. We spent the last three days in the money market as the market as measured by the NDX staged a slow daily decline. But by Monday's close our Anticipatory trend turned positive and we moved fully long. The volatility is low and the small pull back should have provided the markets enough of a pause to make another attempt at going higher. The one negative we see is small potential for a larger down day (see our amplitudes). Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Current position for Monday: All programs are 100% in the Money Market. Friday the market fell leaving the potential for some negative follow-through on Monday. Our Signal is very flat. Our Market Structure level climbed another step and is one step from the highest level. Generally as the levels fall the market goes higher and that should mean that sometime within the next ten days we should see another strong rally. Increased Trump tariffs on Turkish goods have sent their lira about 40% lower since the beginning of the year and over 14% today alone as tariffs were increased. This will be devastating for Turkey and will reverberate through other countries and markets as was even seen in the US markets today. Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Current position for Friday: All programs are 100% in the Money Market. Yesterday we had a neutral signal and the market could not be much more neutral as the NDX changed -.03%. For tomorrow we are holding the neutral signal but it is because we have limited data to make a decision. We make every attempt to be in the market, but only when the probability for success is high enough to take a position relative to risk. We closed the week early with all programs made small gains, the SuperAlgo closed up 84.7%ytd. Just a little below our all time high set in June at +85.6%. Going into Friday brings its own set of concerns for the NDX. The NDX is only about 1/2 percent below its previous high. Thursday's narrow loss ends the eight day upswing and relieves the pressure for traders allowing them to come back into the market. And Friday faces the weekend which could bring any sort of tweets and disruption. Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Current position for Thursday: All programs are 100% in the Money Market. The NDX is now up seven days in a row. Some of our signal components remain positive but there is are enough short term negatives that tell us to stay away. Our Market Structure is negative (short term negative) but the Market Structure Level is climbing (longer term positive). Combined with the low volatility (positive) and proximity to previous highs tell me we should be looking at a small pause then on to new highs. Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Current position for Tuesday: SuperAlgo program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund. All other programs are 100% Money Market. The market continues to go higher and I expect that a new high in the NDX will come this week. Only our adventurous SuperAlgo program is in the market at this time as there are still some cross influences that prevent us from moving all programs into the market. Our focus has always been on matching our exposure to the perceived risk. Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Current position for Monday: SuperAlgo program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund. All other programs are 100% Money Market. We had an excellent week being correct every day and leveraged on all our long trades. We now have new weekly closing highs in all programs with the exception of our SuperAlgo program which has gains of +81.1% ytd. Monday's forecast is conflicted and all programs except for SuperAlgo are in the money market. I expect that any pull back near term would be short lived and not very deep and that the NDX will make another attempt at a new high. Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Current position for Tuesday: Primary program is Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Long/money market program is Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Hot Money program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Retirement program is Long 100%* Rydex NDX 1x fund. SuperAlgo program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Anticipatory Trend program is Long: 60% Rydex NDX 2x Fund. I now see a greater number of market influences converging to the upside, which leads me to believe that we may have a number of positive days starting tomorrow. We have gone fully long. Today's drop was good for our SuperAlgo program which has once again moved over the +70% ytd mark. Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Current position for Monday: Primary program is Short: 37.5% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund. Hot Money program is Short: 50% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund. SuperAlgo program is Short: 100% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund. All other programs are 100% money market. Who will be next in line for a double digit drop. Friday it was Twitter going down -20.54%. Still it was a special situation where bogus accounts were cleared away. It was a good week for us and we positioned ourselves for the down side on Monday. But with our Anticipatory trend level still high and volatility low I am expecting more positive upside soon. Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Current position for Friday: All programs are 100% in the Money Market. Unfortunately Facebook did not deliver and investors sent it down about 19%. With FB making up about 6% of the value of the NDX it also accounted for most of the index's loss. Our signal danced on the line between long and short too close to the bell to make a safe choice so we moved into the money market. It finally closed leaning slightly to the down side. The drop in FB should not influence the NDX in any way other than it is a component, it should not have any impact on other components' businesses and the 19% should account for most if not all of the FB damage. I would expect that in a day or two we will be back to normal market behavior. Market volatility remains low and the potential for positive market behavior remains high. Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Current position for Thursday: Primary program is Long: 37.5% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Long/money market program is Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Hot Money program is Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Retirement program is 100% money market. SuperAlgo program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Anticipatory Trend program is 100% Money market. Easing of trade tensions with the EU gave the market an extra boost on Wednesday. It looks like there is about a two to one chance of some roll over into Thursday, but with much smaller amplitudes. We remain overall long but have lightened most positions. The strong rebound could put a damper on gains later in the week. Wednesday's close marks a new high in the NDX. Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Current position for Tuesday: Primary program is Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Long/money market program is Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Hot Money program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Retirement program is Long 100%* Rydex NDX 1x fund. SuperAlgo program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Anticipatory Trend program is Long: 60% Rydex NDX 2x Fund. The markets nudged higher maintaining their low volatility profile. Our Anticipatory trend kicked in and we moved fully long, this is our first fully long position in about three weeks. There are some cross winds but those should be overridden. Alphabet announced strong earnings after the close and that.sent the stock up about 4.5% in after-hours trading. This should help support the tech sector on Tuesday. Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Current position for Monday: All programs are 100% in the Money Market. Volatility continues to shrink. We remain out of the market. The market seems to be marking time waiting for some reason to go higher (maybe a lull in the tweets). Our Anticipatory trend has been in the money market as its Market Structure level has peaked and is holding. This normally means that there is significant demand waiting to jump in. Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Current position for Friday: All programs are 100% in the Money Market. Recent volatility has moved to a very low level making the market more difficult to read. The normal overall direction for a low volatility market is higher. The risk reward ratio for Friday is too low to take a position. Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Current position for Thursday: Primary program is Long: 37.5% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Long/money market program is Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Hot Money program is Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Retirement program is 100% money market. SuperAlgo program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Anticipatory Trend program is 100% Money market. We remain partially long as this market flips about. Housing starts hit a nine month low while permits fell. Interest rates are still low and volatility remains below the long term average and company earnings are still growing. Overall I would say this continues to be positive. Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Current position for Wednesday: Primary program is Long: 37.5% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Long/money market program is Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Hot Money program is Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Retirement program is 100% money market. SuperAlgo program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Anticipatory Trend program is 100% Money market. The early morning plunge was reversed. The FED painted a rosy picture of the economy and money flowed back into stocks. We are now partially "long". Our partial position for the past few days reflects the mixed influences that we are reading. We attempt to stay in line with the probabilities and that can be a gray area when the influencing conditions are only partially aligned as those conditions are more likely to be swayed by current news. Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Current position for Tuesday: Primary program is Short: 37.5% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund. Hot Money program is Short: 50% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund. SuperAlgo program is Short: 100% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund. All other programs are 100% money market. Will the words and actions of Donald Trump in Helsinki, and the accusations of treason against him, bring down the stock market? Probably it will be just another crack in the wall. His comments sounded more like something attributed to Jane Fonda during her Vietnam war protest days than that of a US president. The market does appear to be headed down for Tuesday as our program is leaning lower along with negative probabilities and somewhat large negative amplitudes. Our Anticipatory Trend is positioned with potential to support a strong up move (soon) and maybe all that is needed is a short sharp drop in the market to get it started. Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Current position for Monday: SuperAlgo program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund, all other programs are 100% in the Money Market. Overall a positive week. The positives continue to out number the negatives, 10 year note under 3%, volatility below long term average, slow steady market gains etc. but this could all come tumbling down if the political situation gets much worse. Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Current position for Friday: Primary program is Long: 37.5% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Long/money market program is Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Hot Money program is Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Retirement program is 100% money market. SuperAlgo program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Anticipatory Trend program is 100% Money market. Holding our partial long position into Friday. The market gained more than expected, but it seems to be playing catch up to earnings. Once again our Anticipatory Trend level is moving into a very positive level and hope the market does not get itself overbought by the time that happens. Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Current position for Thursday: Primary program is Long: 37.5% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Long/money market program is Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Hot Money program is Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Retirement program is 100% money market SuperAlgo program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Anticipatory Trend program is 100% Money market. Continuing with our partial long position we have moved our Anticipatory Trend program into the money market. For now the economy is strong, reflected in the low to average volatility, the political situation is, however, capricious inflicting some harm on the normal order. Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Current position for Wednesday: Primary program is Long: 37.5% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Long/money market program is Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Hot Money program is Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Retirement program is 100% money market SuperAlgo program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Anticipatory Trend program is 60% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Market behaved in a reasonable manner after some previous larger than normal price moves. We have moved to a partial long position. The movement between plus and minus near the close could cause some trouble and the aftermarket is weak. Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Current position for Tuesday: Primary program is Short: 75% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund. Hot Money program is Short: 100% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund. Long/money market program is 100% Money market. Conservative program is Short: 60% Rydex Inverse 1x fund, SuperAlgo program is Short: 100% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund. Anticipatory Trend program is Short: 50% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund. We moved fully short, our first fully short position in two months. The actual price volatility is now slightly above the long term median making it more reasonable to move to a short position. We adjust our position to the market's expected direction, or the money market when it is not clear, and although sometimes short term results can seem to be erratic the long term gains have been very satisfying. At this time we are seeing some large single day moves that are not constructive to the upside and require more stepping in and out. Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Current position for Monday: All programs 100% money market. Money market signals are a good thing when we are not flying fully in sync with the market. Seemingly strange market behavior on Friday with tariffs in force. It looked like the job numbers pushed the market higher even with three times as many people entering the job market as new jobs opened. Good number of new jobs but not enough, as many people that fell off the unemployed rolls began to once again look for work. Still as I have said many times low volatility is a big market plus, which is why you do not see us short very often under low volatility conditions. SuperAlgo closed down for the week but up +67% ytd.. As a highly leveraged program its down swings as well as rewards are higher. Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Current position for Friday: Primary program is Short: 37.5% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund. Hot Money program is Short: 50% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund. SuperAlgo program is Short: 100% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund. All other programs are 100% money market. Program is leaning to the down side, but the chaotic news and actions on tariffs could easily swing this market. Scott Pruitt heads for cover leaving the swamp he created at the EPA. Perhaps some indictments to follow. Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Current position for Thursday: All programs 100% money market. Although the NDX started off positive it slid to end with a more than one percent loss for the shortened day. We have conflicting signals for Thursday and could see more downside. Looks like we ran into a few bumps, perhaps the volatility will pick up and make things easier. Have a nice 4th. Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.