Daily Market Commentary  (and next day's position.)

Comments: December 29, 2017

Current position for Tuesday:  Primary program is Long: 37.5% Rydex S&P 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 50% Rydex S&P 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 50% Rydex S&P 2x fund.   Retirement program is 100% Money market.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex S&P 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is 100% Money market.  The market had a small but enthusiastic plunge near the close with the NDX, S&P, DOW and RUT indices all closing at the low of the day.  This indicates mostly tax selling but with a desire to wait for the indices to go as high as possible prior to the sale. The first day of the year generally goes higher and we are now in the S&P for that event.  Over the next month I will implement some small upgrades and review each programs performance.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments: December 28, 2017

Current position for Friday:  Primary program is Long: 37.5% Rydex Dow 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 50% Rydex Dow 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 50% Rydex Dow 2x fund.   Retirement program is 100% Money market.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex Dow 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is 100% Money market.  We will switch to the S&P for the first three weeks in January then move back into the NDX which by that time should have found its legs. I am pleased with our programs going into the new year but will be making minor updates to some of them reflecting new knowledge acquired. The new taxes are having a negative impact on the dollar and will result in increased inflation which I believe should increase the volatility of the markets which are the lowest in over 35 years for the NDX.  This year was 22% lower than the previous lowest year which was 2013. It was also less than 17% of what it was in 2000, the year with the largest recorded volatility.   Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments:  December 27, 2017

Current position for Thursday:   High Exposure program is Short: 100% Rydex Inverse DOW 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is Short: 50% Rydex Inverse DOW 2x fund, all other programs 100% Money Market.  The markets had a short rally at the close signaling a move of all programs to the money market, but just prior to that signal we moved short on the above two programs. The volatility remains exceptionally low muting any downside attempts.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments: December 26, 2017

Current position for Wednesday:  Primary program is Long: 75% Rydex Dow 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 75% Rydex Dow 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 100% Rydex Dow 2x fund.   Retirement program is 100% Rydex Dow 2x fund.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex Dow 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is Long: 60% Rydex Dow 2x fund.  Our Anticipatory trend has turned long and that should combine well with our other components to push the market higher on Wednesday.  Apple hurt the NDX on Tuesday and may not fully participate in any rally. We remain in the DOW where Apple has less of an impact.  We are fully long. Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments: December 22, 2017

Current position for Tuesday:  Primary program is Long: 37.5% Rydex Dow 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 50% Rydex Dow 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 50% Rydex Dow 2x fund.   Retirement program is 100% Money market.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex Dow 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is 100% Money market.  This dull market is not giving us much to work with. Tax adjusting doesn't help. 2017 was on the most part a straight up year for the indices, and  it was also a very low key year for volatility. The two go together, dull markets are generally good markets as investor fears are lulled away.  Have a happy holiday and we will be back on Tuesday.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments: December 21, 2017

Current position for Friday:  Primary program is Long: 37.5% Rydex Dow 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 50% Rydex Dow 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 50% Rydex Dow 2x fund.   Retirement program is 100% Money market.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex Dow 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is 100% Money market.  Our Anticipatory trend is neutral and not supporting either direction.  This has an effect of lessening the probabilities of our main signal. We compensate for it by reducing our exposure. As we go into the end of the year we switch our trading from the NDX to other indexes. This year I have chosen to go with the Dow through year end and will start the new year in the S&P.  I moved to the Dow a little early this year as the NDX continues to be out of sync with the other indexes. Over the next few days I will be makings some small improvements to our conservative program which is already performing very well. Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments: December 20, 2017

Current position for Thursday:  Primary program is Long: 37.5% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is 100% Money market.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is 100% Money market.  We are holding our position.  Dollar dropped another eighth today.  By now we all know who gained the most from the tax bill, but that is different subject. Christmas week usually trends higher but current events are disrupting normal activity. Volatility remains low.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments: December 19, 2017

Current position for Wednesday:  Primary program is Long: 37.5% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is 100% Money market.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is 100% Money market.  We are holding our position. Yesterday I wrote about the weak dollar and today it fell another quarter percent raising the inflation level. To compensate for the falling dollar interest rates will have to rise causing even more inflation and yes both the 90 day tbills and 10 year note rates went higher on Tuesday.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments: December 18, 2017

Current position for Tuesday:  Primary program is Long: 37.5% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is 100% Money market.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is 100% Money market.  Another good day for the markets as they continue to buy into the corporate tax cut. The NDX corporations should benefit from the cut and more will come from the drop in the dollar which is off almost 8.5% this year.  Like this tax plan, a weak dollar is good short term for corporations and the stock market, and bad long term for the population which will have to pay more for food, oil and most products. They will also have to pay for the tax break to the corporations since the economy will not get a trickle down boost and the lost tax revenue will have to be made up. Trickle down only worked when goods were produced in the US and purchased in the US. Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments: December 15, 2017

Current position for Monday:  All programs 100% money market.  We had a good week and will wait for another signal.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments: December 14, 2017

Current position for Friday:  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex  NDX 2x fund.   All other programs 100% money market.  The market stalled mid day as some Republican Senators said they would not back the tax bill as proposed. We have moved mostly to the money market for Friday.   Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments: December 13, 2017

Current position for Thursday:  Primary program is Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is Long 100%* Rydex NDX 1x fund.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is Long: 60%  Rydex NDX 2x Fund.   Now fully long. For the past few years I have been focused on shorter term volatility and how it relates to index price, I am now researching longer term volatility. Though this is a rather narrow subject it already has provided insight into market action. The Fed did raise rates 1/4% but it was expected and compensated for, so both the 90day and 10 year rates came down. The day after the Fed acts the markets usually react in a positive mode. Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments: December 12, 2017

Current position for Wednesday:  Primary program is Long: 37.5% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is 100% Money market.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is Long: 60% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   We are now partial long as our signals are mostly, but not all, positively aligned. Volatility remains on the low side. Trend is positive.  Looking at the US budget what is most obvious is that as a percentage of GDP our defense spending is three times that of  compared the UK or Germany.  Why does the US need to spend so much?  The past Republican president Dwight David Eisenhower gave a famous speech where he said:"We must guard against the acquisition of unwarranted influence, whether sought or unsought, by the military–industrial complex." Looking at the size of military spending it appears that our government has bent to the wishes of this complex at the expense of other more beneficial allocations. Like health care, education and infrastructure rebuilding. This has been an ongoing problem and it is now getting worse. Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments: December 11, 2017

Current position for Tuesday:  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex  NDX 2x fund.   All other programs 100% money market.  Our indicators are split for Tuesday and we are mostly on the sidelines.  Trend remains positive for the NDX. Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments: December 8, 2017

Current position for Monday:  Primary program is Long: 37.5% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is 100% Money market.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is Long: 60% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Holding our partial long position into Monday.  The volatility seems to have moved back to the low side as the markets drift higher. The last two weeks of December are normally strong and the current low volatility could help that. Bitcoin futures start trading on Sunday.   Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments: December 7, 2017

Current position for Friday:  Primary program is Long: 37.5% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is 100% Money market.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is Long: 60% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  I expect that the anomaly that riled the NDX will pass by tomorrow or Monday and we should be back to our normal patterns and habits. Our Anticipatory trend is now positive and we have a partially long position. Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments:  December 6, 2017

Current position for Thursday:  Primary program is Short: 37.5% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Short: 50% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is 100% Money market.   Retirement program is 100% Money market,  High Exposure program is Short: 100% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is Short: 50% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.  We are now short for a third day and holding our partial position. It may take a few more days for the market to get back to moving in a more normal manner and the NDX and SPX to move more in sync.   Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments:  December 5, 2017

Current position for Wednesday:  Primary program is Short: 37.5% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Short: 50% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is 100% Money market.   Retirement program is Short: 100% Money market,  High Exposure program is Short: 100% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is Short: 50% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.  We are holding our partial short position into Wednesday.  Employment growth has been in the technology area, and that is being hurt by the tax plan. These employees are paid well and often the mortgages on their homes easily run over the $500k proposed limit. One would think that well paid jobs would be something that would be supported by a forward thinking congress. Unfortunately this is a red vs blue tax bill with a bonus for those of any color with estates over $5mil. On the plus side, housing, like drug costs continue to out-run inflation so this might contain the price expansion. More likely it will just spread the price expansion to lower priced homes causing a compression in the $400K to the $1M range.  Tax plan news and news releases on the Russian probe are causing a disruption in the normal stock market action.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments:  December 4, 2017

Current position for Tuesday:  Primary program is Short: 37.5% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Short: 50% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is 100% Money market.   Retirement program is Short: 100% Money market,  High Exposure program is Short: 100% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is Short: 50% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.  Although the market has become more volatile in the past few days it remains in a low volatility mode. The market is also split with the Dow moving higher and the NDX off more than 1%. These are not the best conditions for trading on the short side and there remains a good likelihood of the NDX recovering in the near future.   Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments: December 1, 2017

Current position for Monday:  Primary program is Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is Long 100%* Rydex NDX 1x fund.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is Long: 60%  Rydex NDX 2x Fund.   News that  Michael Flynn, Trumps ex-national security advisor pleaded guilty to lying to the FBI sent the market lower with the NDX going down at one point nearly 2% it did recover about three quarters of that drop. The tech stocks were hit and all the FAANG stocks and NVDA closed lower. We remain in our position expecting a recovery in the NDX.  At this time it is completely clear that the tax bill will be a major benefit for the stock market as the cuts will go to the bottom line (after bonuses) and a bust for the lower income workers. This will eventually cause more problems down the road as trickle down fails, demand and sales stall and the expanding deficit due to the cuts will have to be dealt with. As long as there is a good chance that the bill will pass the market should hold up.  Though some may sell on that news, if volatility remains low I don't see a reason for the buy-and-hold crowd to sell at this time.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments: November 30, 2017

Current position for Friday:  Primary program is Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is Long 100%* Rydex NDX 1x fund.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is Long: 60%  Rydex NDX 2x Fund.   Our Anticipatory trend has kicked in to the upside and we are now fully long.  This was a more volatile week than we have been accustomed to recently. Today's up move regained about half of Thursday's fall.  For about 50 years we have seen a bubble and collapse of some sort, almost every ten years. In 1973 it was the stock market in the1980's it was gold and oil, by 1989 it was junk bonds by 2000 it was the dot coms and by 2008 it was real estate and the overall stock market. The Bitcoin bubble is still too small in terms of people involved to cause major damage, but in a year or two it could be the next cause or helper of a major market collapse.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments: November 29, 2017

Current position for Thursday:  Primary program is Long: 37.5% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is 100% Money market.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is 100% Money market.  A very bad day for the NDX as all the FANG Stocks suffered drops from -2% to -5%. With the Dow and RUT showed small gains and the S&P slipping a very small amount it appears to be a flight of the Mutual funds.   Bitcoin, the crypto currency, ran above $11,000 a coin then fell as much as 18% during the day, as Nvidia the graphic card maker fell almost -7%, these cards are sometimes used to mine Bitcoin and any dip in the bitcoin price is likely to cause major damage to Nvidia, even the high volatility of Bitcoin could cause it to shake.  Bitcoin is used mostly for under ground transactions but its wild price swings even make that use shaky. At some point governments will ban it and the price of Bitcoin and all things tied to it will crumble. Even if they don't get banned the mining of the coin gets more expensive as time passes due to the way it was set up. We get to see another bubble.  We are holding our above positions (not bitcoin!). Today's ndx drop will help increase the volatility making the market easier to read. Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments: November 28, 2017

Current position for Wednesday:  Primary program is Long: 37.5% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is 100% Money market.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is 100% Money market.  Toppy, but climbing, this low volatility market continues to make new highs.  Tuesdays market saw a very strong S&P and a fluctuating NDX.  Our probabilities are only slightly positive.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments: November 27, 2017

Current position for Tuesday:  All programs 100% money market.  We did not have enough data for a reliable trade so we closed out our long position and moved into the money market. What data we do have looks negative, but I prefer a larger sample size to reduce risk.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments: November 24, 2017

Current position for Monday:  Primary program is Long: 37.5% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is 100% Money market.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is 100% Money market.  We have reduced our overall market exposure overall for Monday and our signal is partially long. Volatility continues to be low and that should keep the market on an upward path for awhile. Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments: November 22, 2017

Current position for Friday:  Primary program is Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is Long 100%* Rydex NDX 1x fund.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is Long: 60%  Rydex NDX 2x Fund.   Holding our fully long position once again, as I believe the market will have some additional post Thanksgiving goodies for us on Friday, a shortened trading day.  Have a great Thanksgiving and we will trade again on Friday.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments: November 21, 2017

Current position for Wednesday:  Primary program is Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is Long 100%* Rydex NDX 1x fund.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is Long: 60%  Rydex NDX 2x Fund.   Holding our fully long position for Wednesday.  I expect a small positive carryover, our anticipatory trend has turned flat so there should not be much energy left over from Tuesday's positive move higher.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments: November 20, 2017

Current position for Tuesday:  Primary program is Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is Long 100%* Rydex NDX 1x fund.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is Long: 60%  Rydex NDX 2x Fund.   Back to our fully long position for Tuesday. The low volatility, Thanksgiving and Monday's small pull back  should help the market going into the holiday.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments: November 17, 2017

Current position for Monday:  All programs 100% money market.  For Monday a combination of market movements has produced a less common situation based on our criteria providing insufficient data to project a direction and range for our money market signal.  We make money by having an edge in our favor for each trade and when we do not we move to the money market. Tax concerns are influencing the market and unfortunately the current tax plan passed by the house, while good for the stock market, is bad for the overall US economy and the workers.  The economy needs to be boosted from the bottom up. Workers having more money to spend due to tax cuts will spend it on products and services. Corporations having more money to spend will spend it on automation and on overseas expansion, and will lay-off US workers leaving the government to pay the costs associated with unemployment and further depleting US demand.  This path is not only stupid, but it is evil. Trickle down economics has not worked since the mid 70's.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments: November 16, 2017

Current position for Friday:  Primary program is Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is Long 100%* Rydex NDX 1x fund.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is Long: 60%  Rydex NDX 2x Fund.   Our probabilities show that we may squeeze another small positive day to follow Thursdays nice jump. The low volatility is very helpful in keeping the longer term rally alive. Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments: November 15, 2017

Current position for Thursday:  Primary program is Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is Long 100%* Rydex NDX 1x fund.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is Long: 60%  Rydex NDX 2x Fund.   I see nothing to suggest that the small recent pullback will continue and we remain fully long. Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments: November 14, 2017

Current position for Wednesday:  Primary program is Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is Long 100%* Rydex NDX 1x fund.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is Long: 60%  Rydex NDX 2x Fund.   Small pull-back on Tuesday has most likely cleared the way for a positive Wednesday, at least that is what our signal is saying and what we are expecting.  We have gone fully long.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments: November 13, 2017

Current position for Tuesday:  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is Long: 60% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  All other programs 100% money market.  Mostly a nothing day with the markets creeping slightly higher. ROKU which surged last week added another 28.5% today while GE dipped another 7 continuing its recent trend.  Overall market trend remains positive.   Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments: November 10, 2017

Current position for Monday:  All programs 100% money market.  Volatility seems to be slowly climbing, but from such a low point that it remains exceptionally low. We have mixed signals for Monday and have moved to the Money market preferring to participate on a clearer day.   Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments: November 9, 2017

Current position for Friday:  Primary program is Long: 37.5% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is 100% Money market.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is 100% Money market.  We are perhaps seeing the very beginning of caution in the markets but maybe not as the NDX staged a strong recovery of a good portion of Thursday's early drop.  Volatility  remains low and there does not seem to be any major frights to worry about.  Our Market Structure level climbed again and is nearing the zero line as as we said before as it climbs the market has difficulties making headway, but not so much when under very low volatility conditions. Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments: November 8, 2017

Current position for Thursday:  Primary program is Long: 37.5% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is 100% Money market.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is 100% Money market.  The NDX kept a stead climb all day. We are holding our position.  Our Market Structure level has gained over the past week, remaining negative but halfway up towards the zero level.  It is more difficult for the market to make gains as the levels are climbing, but we can see that despite this, the market is doing very well. SNAP fell about 14.5% on Wednesday and ROKU climbed about 25% in Wednesday's aftermarket. Though relatively minor players in the Tech industry they reflect the rapid changes taking place daily as the world of Tech grows exponentially. Making it hard for companies to maintain and grow their markets.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments: November 7, 2017

Current position for Wednesday:  Primary program is Long: 37.5% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is 100% Money market.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is 100% Money market.  The market churned about the zero line closing just above it. Our signal is a weak "long".  SNAP took a beating after hours and that could influence the Tech sector in this drifting market.    Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments:  November 6, 2017

Current position for Tuesday:  Primary program is Short: 75% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Short: 100% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is 100% Money market.   Retirement program is Short: 60% Rydex Inverse NDX 1x fund.  High Exposure program is Short: 100% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is 100% Money Market.  This is our first leveraged short signal since August.  The low volatility makes the signal less reliable while at the same time the low volatility should make any mishaps less dangerous.   Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments: November 3, 2017

Current position for Monday:  All programs 100% money market.  It was a very good week for us.  We have moved all accounts into the money market. The market may be over extended short term but the low volatility tells us that there is not a great chance of rapid deterioration so the safest place for Monday is the money market. This could be a near term top.  Our Market Structure level is close to bottom having spent much energy getting the market this far up. There may not be a lot more to run much higher while the low volatility should keep it from falling very far.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments: November 2, 2017

Current position for Friday:  Primary program is Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is Long 100%* Rydex NDX 1x fund.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is Long: 60%  Rydex NDX 2x Fund.   The GOP tax bill was released today giving large breaks to the rich and even more in the way of inheritance relief to the super rich along with a giant boost for corporations. Seems like no one cares that economies grow bottom up, not top down. The market did little in response. Our signal stayed long and strong and our probabilities became more positive. Our Market Structure Level is now close to its bottom level telling us that the market should have a more difficult time over the next few weeks in making large gains, however the path remains positive.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments: November 1, 2017

Current position for Thursday:  Primary program is Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is Long 100%* Rydex NDX 1x fund.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is Long: 60%  Rydex NDX 2x Fund.   The NDX started off strong but fell back to close unchanged.   We continue to hold our fully long position.  This small pause should take care of the selling and allow the NDX to move higher on Thursday. Fed spoke in terms of a strengthening economy but did not raise rates.   Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments: October 31, 2017

Current position for Wednesday:  Primary program is Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is Long 100%* Rydex NDX 1x fund.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is Long: 60%  Rydex NDX 2x Fund.   We have moved back to an all-in position going long.  Though somewhat overextended the NDX should continue higher.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments: October 30, 2017

Current position for Tuesday:  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex  NDX 2x fund.   All other programs 100% money market.  As expected there was some carry-over from the large NDX run-up Friday. Our new in 2017 "high exposure/high expectations" program is now up over 30% ytd.  Our signal is saying that there could be some danger overstaying this rally over the next day or two and we have moved mostly into the money market for Tuesday.  Indictments from the Russian probe could lead to more market uncertainty and the recent jump was large. The overall direction is still up. Cutting taxes is generally good for the economy and this economy seems a lot healthier today than it did two years ago.  The proposed corporate tax cut is however the wrong tax cut at the wrong time. If this was 1965 when the economy was booming, automation was in its infancy and was something that supported labor rather than replaced it, it would have been the right thing to do. Demand was strong and a corporate tax cut would have meant more local jobs with increases in advertising and production. Foreign sales were only a small part of the economy.  But this is 2017 and demand remains weak. You can not spur demand with more goods, it takes increasing the available purchasing power and corporate tax cuts do not increase purchasing power, at best they increase available product. In actuality they will provide corporations the funds necessary to fully automate processes, reducing labor and harming the economy. Goods produced will find their way to China which is where there remains strong demand, and more money will flow out of the US rather than into the USA as currently more goods are sold overseas than consumed in the USA. Some of that tax cut will become increases in stock dividends and some will be part of stock buy backs.  Good for stock prices but not good for the economy. An economy with weak demand requires tax cuts at the bottom and middle not at the top and not for corporations.   Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments: October 27, 2017

Current position for Monday:  Primary program is Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is Long 100%* Rydex NDX 1x fund.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is Long: 60%  Rydex NDX 2x Fund.  For Friday we not only had the probabilities in our favor we had the additional advantages of strong tech earnings and a strong GDP growth announcement. This gave us the largest NDX percent change for the year while we were leveraged. Interestingly the Dow was up only 0.14% for the day showing the disconnect between Technology and Industrials.  Barring unforeseen bad news, this strong move should carry over into Monday.  Even with Friday's large move volatility remains very low, maintaining the upward bias.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

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Comments: October 26, 2017

Current position for Friday:  Primary program is Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is Long 100%* Rydex NDX 1x fund.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is Long: 60%  Rydex NDX 2x Fund.  We moved back to a fully long position for Friday.  With GOOG and AMZN doing very well in the aftermarket after strong earnings announcements we should have some extra support for our position. Often a strong Friday will carry over into Monday. In the absence of some damaging news this is likely to happen, propelling the NDX to new highs early in the week. Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments: October 25, 2017

Current position for Thursday:  Primary program is Long: 37.5% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is 100% Money market.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is 100% Money market.  The market fell again and our signal changed to a partial long. At the same time the probabilities have improved.  From what I can see we should make another new high soon.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments: October 24, 2017

Current position for Wednesday:  Primary program is Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is Long 100%* Rydex NDX 1x fund.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is Long: 60%  Rydex NDX 2x Fund.  We have our first fully long day in about a month. The sluggish volatility continues but our Market Structure level has finally taken a step lower after two flat weeks.  This should over the short term give the market another boost although the probabilities look rather dull for tomorrow.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments: October 23, 2017

Current position for Tuesday:  Primary program is Long: 37.5% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is 100% Money market.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is 100% Money market.  The market fell today perhaps reflecting the -6.3% drop in GE. GE, one of the original 12 DOW stocks back in 1896 and part of a group of  "Just put it in a draw and forget it." stocks fell over -6% today and is now down -29% for the year.  And also down since the year 2000.  It was a wonderful run but times change. It is an example for not buying individual stock and blindly holding on. You always need to know more about the transaction than the guy on the other side of the trade. And you need to keep that edge for as long as you hold your side of the trade. This is very difficult in stocks, and when it isn't difficult it is called "insider trading".  The market continues to move slowly and we are holding our partial positive position........  I was in NYC last week which is now near 100% gentrified. monthly parking was $600.xx, while the 24 hr cost was about $63. A "black label burger with fries" was $33. This was in the West Village area. You could still get Two Brothers $1 a slice pizza in the East Village or just enjoy walking past the vast variety of unique shops for free.  No recession there, but high failure rate on the restaurants especially at lease renewal time.  I saw a decrease in the number of police and probably a lower cost to the city to maintain services with the decrease in poor people and the drop in crime. Unfortunately many ethnic groups and elderly got caught in the change over. And for better or worse the city lost some of its charm. With all the change or because of it there are still homeless and winter is coming.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments: October 20, 2017

Current position for Monday:  Primary program is Long: 37.5% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is 100% Money market.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is 100% Money market.  There is very little change in the underlying conditions in this market and we remain partially long. The small daily market changes are keeping the market afloat and with very little in the way of outside influences it should continue in the upward direction.   Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments: October 19, 2017

Current position for Friday:  Primary program is Long: 37.5% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is 100% Money market.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is 100% Money market.  The market opened down celebrating the 30th anniversary of the Oct 19th1987 Black Monday crash.  The NDX fell 1% and recovered two thirds of the fall. Still the market did not shake the small change mode it has followed for awhile, and we are holding our partial long position.  Market Structure level remained unchanged for over a week.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments: October 18, 2017

Current position for Thursday:  Primary program is Long: 37.5% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is 100% Money market.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is 100% Money market.  We are holding our partial long. The market is just drifting higher with only small step pull-backs.  I have no way to tell when this pattern will change.  I am actively following its every move and will adjust our positions and report it here as the changes unfold.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments: October 17, 2017

Current position for Wednesday:  Primary program is Long: 37.5% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is 100% Money market.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is 100% Money market.  Signal partially long but weakened near the close. The market continues to grind higher with about the lowest volatility I have ever seen.  Expect to see more upside going forward.   Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments: October 16, 2017

Current position for Tuesday:  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex  NDX 2x fund.   All other programs 100% money market.  Market continues to gently float higher.  We have moved all but our High Exposure program into the money market. Market Structure level holding flat.   Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments: October 13, 2017

Current position for Monday:  Primary program is Long: 37.5% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is 100% Money market.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is 100% Money market.  Signal remains partially long. Our most conservative programs were in the money market this week while the rest made small gains. Trump gutted Obamacare payments hurting the group that voted for him the most, but will probably spin it to sound like the resulting rate hikes were Obama's fault. Ugly. No new economic news, continued small daily changes. Just holding.  Our market structure level has reached and is holding slightly negative of the transition area.  I believe it will fall back in to a more negative range and as it falls provide some continued uplift for the markets.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments: October 12, 2017

Current position for Friday:  Primary program is Long: 37.5% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is 100% Money market.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is 100% Money market.  Signal remains partially long.  No news, continued small daily changes. Just holding.   Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments: October 11, 2017

Current position for Thursday:  Primary program is Long: 37.5% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is 100% Money market.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is 100% Money market.  Nothing cooking in the market but the new earnings reports should provide some juice. We have a small long signal and are following it.   Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments: October 10, 2017

Current position for Wednesday:  All programs 100% money market.  The NDX pretty much flat-lined about the zero line for the last hour of trading.  Our lack or signal is mirrored by the lack of movement in the market and it seems to be going both ways. Going forward though the money flow should provide some positive price movement and my expectation is that we will start getting more positive signals. Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments: October 9, 2017

Current position for Tuesday:  High Exposure program is Short: 100% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.   All other programs 100% money market.  Shrinking  market moves are not giving us much to bite on so we remain in the money market in five of our six programs.  Earnings are coming up again and should show small improvements as the economy creeps along.   Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments: October 6, 2017

Current position for Monday:  All programs 100% money market.  Forget the weak job numbers, we had some devastating hurricanes that will actually put more people to work in a rebuilding effort.  The NDX continues to push higher and should continue, but there may be a short test back towards the 6000 level very soon prior to a resumption of the uptrend.  We have rather flat numbers for Monday making it difficult to select a direction but overall conditions are unchanged and Mondays tend to go in the same direction as Friday so we lean higher but wait for a stronger signal.   Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments: October 5, 2017

Current position for Friday:  Primary program is Long: 37.5% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is 100% Money market.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is 100% Money market.  We benefited today from the house passing the budget bill. Good tax legislation has long term benefits for the economy and bad legislation does the  opposite and it is not always obvious which is which. It was US tax changes that crushed Puerto Rico by ending a business deduction for doing business on the island. It might have seemed like plugging a loop hole but it was a life-line to the country and terminating it was not well thought out, another case of unintended consequences....  We are holding on to our market positions for Friday because overall the conditions that got us into the trade remain the same. Probabilities look positive.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments: October 4, 2017

Current position for Thursday:  Primary program is Long: 37.5% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is 100% Money market.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is 100% Money market.  There is hardly a change from yesterdays forecast.  NDX has continued to inch back to its recent high of just above the 6000 level.  The expected positive money flow patterns over the next few weeks and the exceptionally low volatility should provide the market with a continued stealth rally above the 6000 level.  Expect a slow but enduring climb for the near future with limited dips.   Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments: October 3, 2017*late post

Current position for Wednesday:  Primary program is Long: 37.5% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is 100% Money market.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is 100% Money market.  The NDX has climbed back to near its recent high of just above the 6000 level. I expect to see a test of that level on Wednesday, assuming no outside influences swing the market.  Volatility continues to slip and long-term volatility is at its lowest point in well over 25 years. Calm is good for long term investors.   Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments: October 2, 2017

Current position for Tuesday:  All programs 100% money market.  The NDX pretty much flat-lined for the last three hours of trading then tilted slightly higher at the close. We remain in the money market. Days like this show that the market is temporarily in balance.  Las Vegas should inspire another attempt at trying to keep guns out of mentally ill hands. I expect it to be brought up, and shot down in congress. There are many things that can be fixed but the players have their own agendas and nothing gets done. Hopefully the US can grow above that and provide the guidance that Puerto Rico needs to rebuild and become viable. It is a nice island about eleven hundred fifty miles from Florida. Some tax incentives like those used by Ireland could be used to lure business to the Island. Perhaps major manufacturing plants or a mini Silicon valley could provide economic salvation. Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments: September 29, 2017

Current position for Monday:  All programs 100% money market.  The NDX moved closer to a new high and should do so next week.  We moved into the money market as we adjust our market exposure according to our perceived market risk.  Some of our programs can make money from either market direction.  The market's current economic focus is on the tax bill.  Upping the standard deduction will help the economy by putting money where it is really needed and immediately spent, which is at the bottom. The ending of the state and local tax deductions are targeting the states won by Clinton, so that has a smell. What smells the most is eliminating the estate tax.   Currently estates under $5.49M are exempt from the estate tax which is a large percentage of the population but Trump's plan is a direct give away for him and his billionaire friends by eliminating it all together.  All of our programs are doing well this year, 3 have gained over 20% each.  However we have not had significant progress these past three months as we have spent time recovering from being on the wrong side of a number of  US / North Korea tirades. Aside from these "event" days the programs are running smoothly and are at or very near all time highs.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments: September 28, 2017

Current position for Wednesday:  Primary program is Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is Long 100%* Rydex NDX 1x fund.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is Long: 60%  Rydex NDX 2x Fund.  We have shifted back to fully long for Friday.  The NDX is weaker being 1.2% below its all time closing high while the NYSE, RUT and S&P made new highs.  Tech stocks may be slowing down but they are certainly not dead. New issue ROKU jumped 67% today on its initial offering.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments: September 27, 2017

Current position for Thursday:  Primary program is Short: 37.5% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.    Hot Money program is  Short: 50% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.  High Exposure program is Short: 100% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.   All other programs 100% money market.  Good market day with a small pullback on close.  We have moved to the short side with overall partial exposure.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments: September 26, 2017

Current position for Wednesday:  Primary program is Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is Long 100%* Rydex NDX 1x fund.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is Long: 60%  Rydex NDX 2x Fund.  Fully long for Wednesday.  Volatility is running about one third of the normal long term value. Still no major longer term disruptions to the market seen at this time. Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments: September 25, 2017

Current position for Tueday:   High Exposure program is Short: 100% Rydex  Inverse NDX 2x fund.  All other programs 100% Money market.   Mostly out for Tuesday and with the NDX now down 4 days in a row we should normally see a pop. Our signal isn't biting.  Once again the children are throwing rocks in the school yard and somebody is going to get hurt. China has joined the economic world and is not looking to take a step back.  Donald Trump's obvious need to feel important ("look at the size of my crowd") may be playing against him against North Korea's Kim Jong-un who had his own half brother assassinated in a foreign country live on CCTV cameras. Sir, this is not a school yard.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments: September 22, 2017

Current position for Monday:  Primary program is Long: 37.5% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is 100% Money market.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is 100% Money market.  The NDX slipped some this week but the volatility remains low and for the time being the market should be safe from any major danger, except for the always worrisome random happening.  It is slow grinding at the top as investors go after pull back stocks and those that seem to have some room for upside.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments: September 21, 2017

Current position for Friday:  Primary program is Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is Long 100%* Rydex NDX 1x fund.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is Long: 60%  Rydex NDX 2x Fund.  Finally have a full strength signal (only the second this month), and we have gone fully long.  Probabilities are decent.  Volatility is low but that supports the upside.  Market is toppy here with the FED holding its interest up path.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments: September 20, 2017

Current position for Thursday:   High Exposure program is Short: 100% Rydex  Inverse NDX 2x fund.  All other programs 100% Money market.   Tech did not like the Fed comments on continued interest rate raises but overall not much reaction. Still a rather dead low volatility market.  Probabilities are inching more negative.   Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments: September 19, 2017

Current position for Wednesday:  Primary program is Long: 37.5% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is 100% Money market.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is 100% Money market.  Waiting for something to grab on to. Volatility is sinking.  Direction is rather gray.   Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments: September 18, 2017

Current position for Tuesday:  All programs 100% money market.  The NDX started higher but drifted lower during the day.  By the close there was no clear signal. The low volatility is positive and running counter to some bad influences that would drive the market lower and after five market days the NDX remains in the same place as last Monday. We will wait for a stronger influence.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments: September 15, 2017

Current position for Monday:  Primary program is Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is Long 100%* Rydex NDX 1x fund.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is Long: 60%  Rydex NDX 2x Fund.  We updated our Conservative program by increasing the long exposure from 80% to 100% during periods where our daily change volatility is below the many year long term average.  For the most part, these daily changes are very low and the greater risk comes when the volatility is high. When that happens we go back to the 80% number. For Monday we have a fully long signal, the first this month.  Hope for a good one. Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments: September 14, 2017

Current position for Friday:  Primary program is Long: 37.5% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is 100% Money market.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is 100% Money market.  We held our partial long for Friday but the aftermarket is very soft.  The continuation of low volatility is dulling the signals and the resulting daily changes.   Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments: September 13, 2017

Current position for Thursday:  Primary program is Long: 37.5% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is 100% Money market.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is 100% Money market.  The NDX along with the other indices hovered about the zero line all day but popped a small amount at the close.  Our signal weakened a little and the Anticipatory Trend program moved to the money market.  We have not had a strong signal since August.   Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments: September 12, 2017

Current position for Wednesday:  Primary program is Long: 37.5% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is 100% Money market.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is Long: 60%  Rydex NDX 2x Fund.  We are partially exposed to the long side.  The S&P and NDX made new highs but the NDX did not make a new intraday high.  Our Anticipatory trend is positive and I expect some more upside on Wednesday.   Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments: September 11, 2017

Current position for Tuesday:   High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex  NDX 2x fund.  All other programs 100% Money market.   We are gingerly stepping back into the market.  Signal components are only partially aligned and low exposure is the best policy. Irma did a lot of damage but less than expected, and North Korea held a party instead of a military gesture. The market relaxed and moved higher.   Recently posted long term forecast.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments: September 8, 2017

Current position for Monday:  All programs 100% money market.  I was glad to see that our program decided to move 100% into the money market for Monday as there are two major events this weekend that could sway the markets either way for Monday and we do not want to be exposed to the market unless we have an edge. #1 is the potential for another missile or bomb (test?) from North Korea on Foundation of the Republic day, and #2 is the amount of devastation from hurricane Irma in Florida and the mainland. The combination  could send the markets much lower or even higher if the hurricane path changes and the test fizzles. I don't toss coins. .....Going forward our Market Structure has once again climbed to within one step of the transition zone where it could turn positive and become a major support for additional market highs. Most of the time the level does not make it into the positive area but instead falls back, and unless the volatility remains low we see more down side. 

I had a very interesting conversation today regarding Donald Trumps motivation.  By looking at Mr. Trumps actions in the light of his previous experience as a wrestling promoter it makes a lot of sense. He has been 100% consistent in supporting his hardcore base of about 30% of Americans.  And he gets great ratings with them. He is not part of a political machine, he is independent and will make whatever deal he can to cement his core group.  A 30 percent core group means an over 60% piece of the Republican votes and no one can unseat him there.  Brilliant, even though it seems to be irrational and evil to 60% of Americans and seems just bewildering to the other 10%.  He can and will make some deals with Democrats because his core voters are not as much Republican supporters  as Trump supporters and Trump can do what he likes because he has the ratings. In college wrestling there are rules and the matches are real.  In professional wrestling the rules are broken, agreements mean nothing and the lies and bravado bring in the fans. Sound familiar?  As investors, understanding this will help you make better investment decisions and not be surprised or blindsided by a seemingly random Trump Tweet or decree.  Recently posted long term forecast.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments: September 7, 2017

Current position for Friday:  Primary program is Long: 37.5% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Long/money market program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  All other programs are 100% money market.   We switched to a partial long position for Friday. Our indicators have not been fully aligned this week as the market struggles to determine direction, and overall we have been less than fully invested reflecting the lack of conviction.  Could be another missile test on Saturday which is the North Korean day of the foundation of the republic.  This could lead to some pre weekend lightening of holdings among traders, but we have taken the partial long position in line with our signal. Recently posted long term forecast.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments: September 6, 2017

Current position for Thursday:  Primary program is Short: 37.5% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.    Hot Money program is  Short: 50% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.  High Exposure program is Short: 100% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is Short: 50% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.  All other programs 100% money market.  Overall we have positive market conditions with low volatility and low interest rates, this should keep any retreat small in size. For Thursday we have some other negative influences that could push the market a little lower and we have taken a partial negative position. Recently posted long term forecast.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments: September 5, 2017

Current position for Wednesday:  Primary program is Long: 37.5% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Long/money market program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  All other programs are 100% money market.   North Korea's bomb test on Friday sent the markets lower over the weekend and it carried in force into Monday.  I consider this an "Event day" which is when a major influencing event happens that immediately effects the markets. These days are not predictable other than they are generally in the down direction. I expect the market to try to recover on Wednesday.  Goldman Sach's fell over -3.5% as there are other implications adrift. Our president is pursuing isolationist policies and a move that might (temporarily)  cut trade with China (because China supplies North Korea with refined petroleum and buys their coal despite agreements against it.) could fit in well with his agenda. Even the hint of a trade stoppage with China would send the markets lower and clobber GS. Recently posted long term forecast.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments: September 1, 2017

Current position for Tuesday:   High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex  NDX 2x fund.  All other programs 100% Money market.   There should be more money coming into this market this week with "catch up" buying.  Mostly a flat outlook for Tuesday but our High Exposure program is looking for more upside. *I posted another long term forecast on Saturday.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments:  August 31, 2017 

Current position for Friday:  All programs are 100% money market.  The NDX made a new closing high but fell a tiny bit short on the intraday.  Our signal danced between a partial long and money market, we moved fully into the money market taking the safer route while our signal eventually settled on the partial long. Going into the long three day weekend and knowing that we have a wildcard in the oval office I leaned toward safety.  Most likely we will see some early upside Friday.   Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments: August 30, 2017

Current position for Thursday:  Primary program is Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is Long 80% Rydex NDX 1x fund.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is Long: 60%  Rydex NDX 2x Fund.  The market is now beginning to overheat but positive conditions continue to exist and probabilities remain positive for another up-day.  By Friday money flow should sour and we will have to, as always, evaluate that day prior to Thursday's close.  The upside could continue next week as the markets are now little more than one percent away from the prior highs and could go in for a test both money flow and market volatility should be positive.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments: August 29, 2017

Current position for Wednesday:  Primary program is Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is Long 80% Rydex NDX 1x fund.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is Long: 60%  Rydex NDX 2x Fund.  It wasn't as much North Korea's missile that caused the steep drop in the markets this morning it was more fear of an irrational response from Donald Trump.  That proved to be unfounded as much delayed "All options are open" words quieted the market and sent it higher. We are holding long again for Wednesday and hope that there is more quiet to be had. Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments: August 28, 2017

Current position for Tuesday:  Primary program is Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is Long 80% Rydex NDX 1x fund.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is Long: 60%  Rydex NDX 2x Fund.  The market managed to overcome a very early and very small dip closing with a small gain.  Our signal is now fully long.  Money flow has turned positive and volatility has pulled back as has our Market Structure Level.  All conditions now support more short term upside.   Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments:  August 25, 2017

Current position for Monday:  Primary program is Short: 75% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Short: 100% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is 100% Money market.   Retirement program is Short: 60% Rydex Inverse NDX 1x fund.  High Exposure program is Short: 100% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is Short:  50%  Rydex Inverse NDX 2x Fund.  The last three days were down for the NDX and that usually means an up-day is next,  but our signal remains down along with a negative money flow projection for Monday, volatility has however slipped and could help support the market.  My expectation is an uptrend for next week starting on Tuesday supported by the low volatility.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments:  August 24, 2017

Current position for Friday:  Primary program is Short: 75% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Short: 100% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is 100% Money market.   Retirement program is Short: 60% Rydex Inverse NDX 1x fund.  High Exposure program is Short: 100% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is Short:  50%  Rydex Inverse NDX 2x Fund.  Small pullback on Thursday.  We are holding our position for Friday.  Volatility is still less than average which is overall positive for the market, but a small market drop continues to be reasonable.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments:  August 23, 2017

Current position for Thursday:  Primary program is Short: 75% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Short: 100% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is 100% Money market.   Retirement program is Short: 60% Rydex Inverse NDX 1x fund.  High Exposure program is Short: 100% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is Short:  50%  Rydex Inverse NDX 2x Fund.  More loose cannon remarks last night by Mr. Trump sent the markets lower.  Shut down the government for a wall?  I expect this drop to carry into Monday but we will go one day at a time.  We held all short positions.  We may have reached the tipping point regarding Mr Trump and the market.  I expect to see Trump's chaos pushing market volatility higher over the rest of the year.  The dollar should continue to drift lower with slipping confidence in the US and our interest rates should hold firm. Regarding inflation, expect the falling dollar to cause food prices to rise and continued inflation in medicine, education and rent. This should result in more market pull backs than we have seen in the first eight months.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments:  August 22, 2017

Current position for Wednesday:  Primary program is Short: 75% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Short: 100% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is 100% Money market.   Retirement program is Short: 60% Rydex Inverse NDX 1x fund.  High Exposure program is Short: 100% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is Short:  50%  Rydex Inverse NDX 2x Fund.  One day without problems from the White house and the markets jumped. It won't last.  The increase in volatility does not mean the market will go down, but it does mean that the direction is no longer a one way street and investors should now be concerned that the market could start going down at any time as long as the volatility remains above the bottom level that we have become used to over many months.  Probabilities favor the downside for Wednesday.   Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments: August 21, 2017

Current position for Tuesday:   High Exposure program is Short: 100% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.  All other programs 100% Money market.   This market is shifting between extreme down days separated by a bunch of nothing days. Today was a nothing day.  The eclipse is over and we can refocus and amuse or frighten ourselves with more news soon to come from the White house.  The hope of leadership in the White house is gone.  Still the continued gains in productivity supported by low interest rates and overall small daily market movements should help the indices hold up.  Many companies will continue to shed workers and improve profits with little or no increase in revenue.  Low interest rates can support high valuations.  Unfortunately there is no one to control runaway drug and hospital costs, higher education costs and rents. How do young people who lose their reasonable pay jobs manage to retrain with education costs rising along with rents?  The Young White Disenfranchised misplace their anger.  The higher educated coastal populations often do not see the problems of the YWD as severe or as worthy as the problems of the African Americans who never wanted to be here to begin with, and were chained, dragged and beaten to work for free. Almost always both sides forget about the American Indians whose land was forcibly taken (stolen) by the European Immigrants on their way west. Productivity usually also creates new jobs but the timing and location of those jobs puts them at another time and place while the amount of new jobs is often less than the number displaced.  Amazon employs 341,100 while 100,000 jobs were lost in retail since October. This is a world wide trend. even those countries that have replaced our workers have found that their own workers were replaced by machines. It is not immigrants taking US jobs, it is productivity the double edged sword. It is one of the biggest and most neglected problems facing the world.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments:  August 18, 2017

Current position for Monday:  Primary program is Short: 75% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Short: 100% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is 100% Money market.   Retirement program is Short: 60% Rydex Inverse NDX 1x fund.  High Exposure program is Short: 100% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is Short:  50%  Rydex Inverse NDX 2x Fund.  Our short signal changed to neutral at the close, since we trade a few minutes prior to the close we remained short.  Probabilities from our view point remain more than two to one to the downside.  The recent two large market drops have raised the volatility enough to encourage more downside.  Even news of Bannon's departure from the White house and Cohn's remaining could not prevent the market from slipping more on Friday.  Considering that our Market Structure level is high and next week's money flow does not look great, the market could be in for another tumble starting Monday.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments: August 17, 2017

Current position for Friday:  Primary program is Long: 37.5% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Long/money market program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  All other programs are 100% money market.   Bad day for the markets and us as it becomes more clear that the Republicans have aligned themselves with a bad hombre.  This is causing more market uncertainty than I expected. Thursday's drop of over 2% was the second in 6 days.  Still most of the daily changes remain very small keeping the overall volatility low.  We reduced our exposure for Friday but remain partially long.   Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments: August 16, 2017

Current position for Thursday:  Primary program is Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is Long 80% Rydex NDX 1x fund.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is Long: 60%  Rydex NDX 2x Fund.  With North Korea speaking about a delay in sending missiles near Guam there is temporarily less to worry about.  The Alt-Right has given the more normal Republicans and Democrats a cause to unite around (against) which may mean more can get done together, a good thing for the country. That should help the markets continue to new highs but our anticipatory level is now only one step from its lowest level which generally means that there will be resistance going forward for the next couple of weeks. So perhaps an attempt at new highs but no surge through them.  We are holding our fully long position.   Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments: August 15, 2017

Current position for Wednesday:  Primary program is Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is Long 80% Rydex NDX 1x fund.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is Long: 60%  Rydex NDX 2x Fund.  Quiet day with the indexes closing mostly unchanged.  We have moved fully long.  The unchanged day dulls the volatility. The DOW, S&P and NDX will most likely test their highs soon.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments: August 14, 2017

Current position for Tuesday:   High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is Long: 60%  Rydex NDX 2x Fund.  All other programs 100% Money market.   We got our quiet Monday and strong market, almost fully recovering from the Trump inspired drop.  Although days late, our president came very close to rectifying his gaff on Charlottesville had he not told Fox news that he was considering a pardon for the hateful ex sheriff of Arizona.  Donald you almost did good.  We do need a United America.  Less money would need to be spent fighting crime,  more money could be spent on education and we would have a stronger, better, more prosperous country.  Not even considering morality or social benefits, it is simple economics.  The past three days has helped move volatility higher but it will need more 1+% days to move it back to normal.  Mixed readings for Tuesday and we have moved most of our programs into the money market. Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments: August 11, 2017

Current position for Monday:  Primary program is Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is Long 80% Rydex NDX 1x fund.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is Long: 60%  Rydex NDX 2x Fund.  We have gone fully long.  Probabilities are strong to the upside if everything stays quiet through Monday.  Volatility still remains low overall by our indicators even though the VIX itself has risen sharply.  Friday's market behavior was very positive considering that we are going into a weekend so Thursday's drop was probably overdone.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments: August 10, 2017

Current position for Friday:  Primary program is Long: 37.5% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Long/money market program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  All other programs are 100% money market.   Trumps doubles down sending the market much lower.  The threat is real and goes much further than dollars. Where have you gone Joe Dimaggio?  We continue to follow our signals and have reduced our exposure.   My concern is the instability of the people holding the nuke codes. It appears that all the other players are grown-ups looking to better the economics of the countries that they lead. You don't do that with bombs when your country is in the sights.  Take the bombs out of the equation and what is left are just normal market gyrations. The VIX jumped about 40% today.  I don't think that Goldman Sach and friends will allow this to go much further without applying direct pressure on Mr president.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments: August 9, 2017

Current position for Thursday:  Primary program is Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is Long 80% Rydex NDX 1x fund.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is Long: 60%  Rydex NDX 2x Fund.  Trump's fire and fury comment scared about 1% out of the NDX early Wednesday, but when the smoke cleared at the final bell all but 0.12% was retaken.  The basic trend direction remains higher but any "event" could send it lower for a short time and any really foolish irreversible "event" could send the markets crashing.  Short of a bomb we should get sufficient warning for a market disaster and we should be able to take advantage of the move. Event driven days are more difficult because they can skewer markets in either direction the day that they happen, leaving no warning for that day. It would probably have been healthier for the market to not have recovered quite as much as it may have run out of steam to go much further on Thursday.  But our signal has strengthened and we have increased our market exposure. Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments: August 8, 2017

Current position for Wednesday:  Primary program is Long: 37.5% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Long/money market program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  All other programs are 100% money market.   Holding our partial long into Wednesday.  Tuesday's small pull-back gave us strengthening probabilities and that should be enough to send the markets higher again on Wednesday. Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments: August 7, 2017

Current position for Tuesday:  Primary program is Long: 37.5% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Long/money market program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  All other programs are 100% money market.   We stayed long but reduced our exposure.  The low volatility continues and supports the market, encouraging more upside.  Trump's vacation should help keep things quite and that too will be a help to the upside.   Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments: August 4, 2017

Current position for Monday:  Primary program is Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is Long 80% Rydex NDX 1x fund.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is Long: 60%  Rydex NDX 2x Fund.  We are now fully long. We managed 5 of 6 small gains  this week as the NDX had a small drop.  Not much either way and not much to be expected under these tiny daily moves. The white house is finding that the more there is to hide the more leaks there will be. There is a lesson in that.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments: August 3, 2017

Current position for Friday:  Primary program is Long: 37.5% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Long/money market program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  All other programs are 100% money market.   We remain partially long as our probabilities strengthened.  The low volatility remains a plus supporting the market.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments: August 2, 2017

Current position for Thursday:  Primary program is Long: 37.5% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Long/money market program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  All other programs are 100% money market.   Last Thursday we mentioned that traders may be using the release of earnings from FANG stocks to unload their tech positions into strength. And they did it again with Apple's strong earnings. The NDX opened higher then took a substantial drop and made a modest recovery. This behavior is not something we see in a healthy market and the size of the moves indicates that Mutual funds and Hedge funds are probably involved.  We reduced our long exposure into Thursday.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments: August 1, 2017

Current position for Wednesday:  Primary program is Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is Long 80% Rydex NDX 1x fund.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is Long: 60%  Rydex NDX 2x Fund.  Along with our strong "long" signal it appears we got lucky.  Apple reported after the close and has jumped over 5%, since it has about a 12% weight  that should translate into about 0.6% for the NDX. Since it will most likely push AMZN and FB higher that could also add a tenth or two to the NDX. Why do millennials buy in excess Iphones, tattoos and lattes when they pay very high rents?  Have they given up on their future or are advertisers and the need to belong just too much to overcome? Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments:  July 31, 2017 

Current position for Tuesday: High Exposure program is Short: 100% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.   All other programs are 100% money market.  Scaramucci, even more Trump than Trump.  Every politician knows you can't upstage the king so he had to go. Trump covfefeies Scaramucci bringing an end to the most colorful character in the cabinet, is that a plus of minus for the USA? It is certainly a minus for late night TV and the media in general, which was getting a boost from the clown act....  We remain mostly in the money market with only our most aggressive program going short.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments:  July 28, 2017 

Current position for Monday:  All programs are 100% money market.   Our programs were correct three days this week, money market once, and wrong once. But only our high exposure program showed a gain for the week.  Volatility has slipped back to very low levels and with low volatility we find ourselves more in the money market.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments:  July 27, 2017

Current position for Friday:  Primary program is Short: 75% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Short: 100% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is 100% Money market.   Retirement program is Short: 60% Rydex Inverse NDX 1x fund.  High Exposure program is Short: 100% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is Short:  50%  Rydex Inverse NDX 2x Fund. The NDX made a new all time high then reversed itself. The reversal caught me by surprise.  The market partially recovered but closed lower on the day. It looks like some traders may be using the "FANG" earnings reports to unload tech stocks which have had a large run-up.  Our signal has gone "short" and we moved to the down side. Still volatility is mild and it will take larger daily moves to significantly change longer term market mood and direction.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments: July 26, 2017

Current position for Thursday:  Primary program is Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is Long 80% Rydex NDX 1x fund.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is Long: 60%  Rydex NDX 2x Fund.  A currency strengthens as international investors see its country as strong, dominant, enduring and safe.  Since shortly after the election the dollar has fallen as investors realized that the US was on a path that could jeopardize all of those things. The fall has, however, been good for the US multinationals who have more earnings from overseas than from the US. This is part of the reason that the market has continued to make new highs.  Combined with the small daily change low volatility the market continues to go higher. Our Market Structure level has taken a step lower which should also encourage a pulse higher for Thursday. We are fully long. FB posted good earnings, after the close the stock was up over 4%.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments:  July 25, 2017 

Current position for Wednesday:  Primary program is Long: 37.5% Rydex NDX 2x fund.     Hot Money program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Long/money market program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  All other programs are 100% money market.   I have made some adjustments to our Anticipatory Trend program as well as to the way we calculate our next day probabilities. The changes to the Anticipatory Trend program will reduce market exposure to only the most reliable conditions and should have a resulting reduction in drawdown making it a step above our most conservative program with overall market exposure equal to about 50% of the NDX,  while striving for annual double digit returns.  This should offer an excellent combination of low risk with time based diversification. The NDX finally broke its string of up days.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments:  July 24, 2017 

Current position for Tuesday:  All programs are 100% money market.   The NDX appears to be in a mini blow off, with twelve days higher in a row. Our Market Structure level is negative but only one step from the transition area where it could turn positive. It has been turned back from this level many times before, while the low volatility helped the market to climb while overpowering the negative Market Structure.  Under these conditions I do not see much more than a small pullback, perhaps no more than a day or two prior to the resumption to the upside.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments:  July 23, 2017 

Current position for Monday:  Primary program is Long: 37.5% Rydex NDX 2x fund.     Hot Money program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Long/money market program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  All other programs are 100% money market.   We are holding long another day and have added the Long/money market program to the long side. These are not strong signals as the low volatility is keeping the strength down.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments:  July 20, 2017 

Current position for Friday:  Primary program is Long: 37.5% Rydex NDX 2x fund.     Hot Money program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  All other programs are 100% money market.   The NDX made ten up-days in a row. This is a topping area and not providing the strong reliable signals we like to trade. We could see more up-side. Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments:  July 19, 2017

Current position for Thursday:  Primary program is Short: 75% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Short: 100% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.  Retirement program is Short: 60% Rydex Inverse NDX 1x fund.  High Exposure program is Short: 100% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.  All other programs are  100% Money market.  The NDX made a new all time high and has not had a loss in nine days. It has gone as long as 14 without a drop over the past 23 years.  Low volatility has crept back into the below normal area, helping support the market.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments:  July 18, 2017 

Current position for Wednesday:  Primary program is Long: 37.5% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is 100% money market.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is 100% money market.   Netflix gained over 13.5% Tuesday sending the NDX higher, even as most other indexes fell. Tech is still king.  We are partially long for Wednesday.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments:  July 17, 2017

Current position for Tuesday:  Primary program is Short: 75% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Short: 100% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.  Retirement program is Short: 60% Rydex Inverse NDX 1x fund.  All other programs are  100% Money market.   NetFlix reported after the close and had great subscriber growth. This company has plenty of room to increase fees and bring in a ton of money. Most likely this will drive the NDX higher  on Tuesday and cause us a problem in some of our programs. Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments: July 14, 2017

Current position for Monday:  Primary program is Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is Long 80% Rydex NDX 1x fund.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is Long: 60%  Rydex NDX 2x Fund.  Back to fully long for Monday we were up for the week but gave back some the past two days as the market has been stronger than expected.  S&P made a new high and the NDX could follow along.  Money seems to be flowing between the bank stocks and tech stocks. Friday the Techs won.   Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments:  July 13, 2017

Current position for Friday:  Primary program is Short: 75% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  100% Money market.     Hot Money program is  Short: 100% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.  Retirement program is Short: 60% Rydex Inverse NDX 1x fund. High Exposure program is Short: 100% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is  Short: 50% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.  The probabilities have become less negative but we are holding our short position into Friday.  Thursday was the fifth positive day in a row for the NDX. Volatility is in the middle range supporting a longer term continuing uptrend.   Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments:  July 12, 2017

Current position for Thursday:  Primary program is Short: 75% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  100% Money market.     Hot Money program is  Short: 100% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.  Retirement program is Short: 60% Rydex Inverse NDX 1x fund. High Exposure program is Short: 100% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is  Short: 50% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.  Our signal has turned fully short.  Volatility is high enough to support the signal yet momentum could be strong enough to push the S&P to a new closing high only 0.4% away. The NDX is 1.8% from its high which is more of a stretch for a one day jump and more likely to happen when either FB, AAPL, GOOG, AMZN or NFLX report earnings.   Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments:  July 11, 2017 

Current position for Wednesday:  Primary program is Long: 37.5% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is 100% money market.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is Long: 60% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  The probabilities are only slightly favorable for Wednesday.  Government problems with serious implications for the country, have not, so far had any effect on the stock market. Volatility has moved back to near normal but interest rates remain low. Probably the most likely near term direction it up.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments:  July 10, 2017 

Current position for Tuesday:   High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is Long: 60% Rydex NDX 2x fund. All other programs are 100% money market.  looks like a mixed signal for Tuesday. Our newest programs remain long with our older programs moved to the money market. Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments: July 7, 2017

Current position for Monday:  Primary program is Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is Long 80% Rydex NDX 1x fund.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is Long: 60%  Rydex NDX 2x Fund.  Moved back to fully long. Employment numbers look good as wages remain in check.  No inflation seen, but rents continue to climb taking a large portion of salaries and keeping dollars from going to other areas. True religion filed for bankruptcy the maker of expensive jeans could not pay their bills as enough young people balked at paying $300+ for denim. Our Market Structure Level is falling again providing support for more upside.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments:  July 6, 2017 

Current position for Friday:   High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is Long: 60% Rydex NDX 2x fund. All other programs are 100% money market.  Another down day for both us and the market. We moved most of our programs into the money market as our primary signal turned flat. . Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments:  July 5, 2017 

Current position for Thursday:  Primary program is Long: 37.5% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is 100% money market.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is 100% money market.  We had our second out-of-sync day Wednesday.  And we have given back about half of last weeks gain, this week.  Looking ahead we have a small long position. Some interesting things going on in the world. Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments:  July 3, 2017 

Current position for Wednesday:  Primary program is Short: 37.5% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.    Hot Money program is  Short: 50% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.  High Exposure program is Short: 100% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is Short: 50% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.  All other programs 100% money market.  Our signal has moved to a partial short. The NDX opened much higher but plunged as the Tech stocks continued to slide, even as other indices gained.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments: June 30, 2017

Current position for Monday:  Primary program is Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is Long 80% Rydex NDX 1x fund.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is Long: 60%  Rydex NDX 2x Fund.  We have a strong Long signal for Monday which will be a shortened market day. Window dressing for the mutual funds will be over as we enter the third quarter so the cosmetic switch from tech to banks should taper off. At some point money will flow back into the techs since they are one of the few groups with good long term growth prospects.  This is all outside our work here but it does support our short term signal.  We had a very good week for ourselves and our clients as the increase in volatility made the signals both easier to read and more substantial. The NDX, comprised of many tech stocks, had a bad week dropping -2.7% but overall is only off about 4% from its high. Our Market Structure level remains negative and our T-Index is in the normal range and slightly to the deflationary side.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments:  June 29, 2017

Current position for Friday:  Primary program is Short: 75% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  100% Money market.     Hot Money program is  Short: 100% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.  Retirement program is Short: 60% Rydex Inverse NDX 1x fund. High Exposure program is Short: 100% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is  Short: 50% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.  Fund portfolio adjustments continue to liquidate tech stocks and move into the banks most of this should be over by month end.  We have moved fully short for Friday as our signal became more negative. The market (NDX) plunged then recovered about 35% of its drop by the close. I expect the drop to continue another day going into the weekend as fear takes its toll on more sensitive stomachs. We continue to move inline with the daily probabilities and they are saying lower for now.  The volatility is slightly below the long term median, still positive for the upside, but high enough to cause the market to be subject to some downside shocks.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments:  June 28, 2017 

Current position for Thursday:  Primary program is Short: 37.5% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.    Hot Money program is  Short: 50% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.  High Exposure program is Short: 100% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.  All other programs 100% money market.  Our signal has moved to a partial short. The volatility has climbed into a more reasonable area for shorting supporting our signal.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments: June 27, 2017

Current position for Wednesday:  Primary program is Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is Long 80% Rydex NDX 1x fund.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is Long: 60%  Rydex NDX 2x Fund.  We have moved back to a fully long position for Wednesday.  Tuesdays drop was more than we expected but in line with our probabilities.  The longer term expectations under these still relatively low volatility conditions is for a recovery rather than a crumbling market, but one must remain alert.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments:  June 26, 2017 

Current position for Tuesday:  Primary program is Short: 37.5% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.    Hot Money program is  Short: 50% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.  High Exposure program is Short: 100% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.  All other programs 100% money market.  The NDX spiked higher on the open but  FB, AAPL, NFLX, GOOG and AMZN all closed lower bringing the index down.  The SPX managed a small gain. I do not know what drove the techs lower, but for the last seven days the market has changed direction from the previous day.   Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments: June 23, 2017

Current position for Monday:  Primary program is Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is Long 80% Rydex NDX 1x fund.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is Long: 60%  Rydex NDX 2x Fund.  It has been very difficult to make any money on the downside but it would be foolish to believe that this "new" market is one directional. Our theory is sound and our direction is primarily long but we are nimble and I expect to take full advantage of any downturn.   Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments:  June 22, 2017

Current position for Friday:  Primary program is Short: 75% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  100% Money market.     Hot Money program is  Short: 100% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.  Retirement program is Short: 60% Rydex Inverse NDX 1x fund. High Exposure program is Short: 100% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is  Short: 50% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.  This is the first strong short signal we have had in over a month. Volatility remains low but is now in a range where we can expect  more down days. Friday looks like one of those days.    Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments: June 21, 2017

Current position for Thursday:  Primary program is Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is Long 80% Rydex NDX 1x fund.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is Long: 60%  Rydex NDX 2x Fund.  Volatility has picked up, but remains relatively low. It remains low enough to continue to be a positive influence on the market. We have moved back to a fully long position. Oil continues to slip but that did not deter the NDX from going higher on Wednesday.   Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments:  June 20, 2017 

Current position for Wednesday: High Exposure program is Short: 100% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.  All other programs 100% money market.  The drop in the last few minutes changed our signal, but too late to take a position. This does not happen very often and the change often leads to a false signal. Most likely cause of Tuesdays drop was the large drop in oil prices.  More scary was the US shooting down a Russian jet, but that did not seem to be a concern since oil fell instead of going higher on a war scare. One way (the wrong way) to convince everyone that there is no collusion between the administration and Russia is to shoot down their jets. At the same time it does help sell voters on increasing the military budget. It is a dangerous action especially when we are already at odds with North Korea and ISIS.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments: June 19, 2017

Current position for Tuesday:  Primary program is Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is Long 80% Rydex NDX 1x fund.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is Long: 60%  Rydex NDX 2x Fund.  Strong Monday and I believe we should have some carryover into Tuesday even though Tuesday often moves opposite Monday's direction.  This was the largest one day move this year in the NDX but over all we are still in a small (daily) change mode that could send the market much higher.  We have moved fully long.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments:  June 16, 2017 

Current position for Monday:  Primary program is Long: 37.5% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is 100% money market.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is 100% money market.  Small pull-back in Friday ended with the NDX down a little over -1% for the week.  All our accounts showed small gains as we stepped through the downdraft.  We remain positive about the market as daily changes remain small and interest rates low.  Tax reform may get stalled but that could be a good thing as a tax package might bring more homes on the market sending prices lower and triggering another decline.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments:  June 15, 2017 

Current position for Friday:  Primary program is Long: 37.5% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is 100% money market.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is 100% money market.  Once again we change direction. This is how time based diversification is supposed to work, by moving in line with the probabilities you should not get caught in an extended downturn. The NDX has been down four of the past five days, by contrast our Primary program was correct two out of three days and in the money market the other two.  We are now looking for a small bounce in the NDX and a positive Friday often carries over into Monday. The volatility has kicked up some, but remains under the long time normal range and should support the market for the upside. Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments:  June 14, 2017 

Current position for Thursday:  Primary program is Short: 37.5% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.    Hot Money program is  Short: 50% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.  High Exposure program is Short: 100% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.  All other programs 100% money market.   A greater than -3.5% drop in oil prices held the market back early on but it took the FED's decision to unwind their balance sheets while inflation is below 2% to send it lower.  The FED believes  that they must use this window of time to get out from the position that they took in 2008 even though the economy is not performing at a level that they would consider dangerous and warrant the hawkish stance.  We closed out all long positions and moved some programs into a short or partial short position.  With the daily changes still relatively small the market should recover from the past few days. Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments: June 13, 2017

Current position for Wednesday:  Primary program is Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is Long 80% Rydex NDX 1x fund.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is Long: 60%  Rydex NDX 2x Fund.  This bounce should last a couple of days as our signal remains strong.  The market structure level did not go positive but that should not matter in the near term.  I expect the S&P 500 to make a new high on Wednesday and the NDX to come with 1.5% of its high.  Barring some adverse news event we should have a good day. Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments: June 12, 2017

Current position for Tuesday:  Primary program is Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is Long 80% Rydex NDX 1x fund.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is Long: 60%  Rydex NDX 2x Fund.  This is our first strong long position since the beginning of the month.  The NDX has show both weakness and volatility over the past two days and the index made a lower low on Monday. The automated trading programs have now had two days to play, and the rush to the exits should be just about over.  Since this is happening under very low volatility initial conditions there is still little fear and that should bring some rebound money back into the high tech area on Tuesday. Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments:  June 9, 2017 

Current position for Monday: All programs 100% money market.  The House cut regulations on banks and Wall street Thursday and that sent money out of tech and into the finance stocks Friday.  At one point the NDX was down more than -3.8%. It had a partial recovery near the close.  The move kicked up the volatility but it still remains in the safe zone and the longer term direction remains up, however the market could spend some more time this coming week testing Friday's low.  A down Friday more often than not means a down Monday. Our Market Structure closed within one step of the transition zone and were it to go positive would reinforce the longer term upside projection. Though I don't like to see the daily moves get too large, the increase in volatility is helpful to our program as the larger moves make the market even easier to read.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments:  June 8, 2017 

Current position for Friday:  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is  Long: 60% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Mr Comey's testimony did little to move the markets. We have a very mild "long" signal for Friday and are only in the market with two of our six programs.  Our overall market structure level remains negative while the small daily market changes continue to support the positive trend. Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments:  June 7, 2017 

Current position for Thursday: All programs 100% money market.  It does not look like there will be much market reaction to the senate probe on Thursday. We are fully in the money market based on our signals. But it looks like it is leaning higher.   Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments:  June 6, 2017 

Current position for Wednesday:  Primary program is Long: 37.5% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is 100% money market.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is 100% money market.  We moved back to the long side for most of our programs. Changes remain small, overall direction remains up.    Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments:  June 5, 2017 

Current position for Tuesday:   High Exposure program is Short: 100% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.  All other programs 100% money market.  This dull market made only the slightest movement on Monday.  We moved to the sidelines with only our most aggressive program turning short.  Waiting for a clearer signal.   Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments:  June 2, 2017 

Current position for Monday:  Primary program is Long: 37.5% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is 100% money market.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is 100% money market.  The NDX jumped over 1% on Friday and closed on the high of the day.  Closing at the high generally means that investors are rushing to get in and that often provides an exit for earlier traders the following morning. We have moved into the money market in some programs and reduced our exposure in most of the others. Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments: June 1, 2017

Current position for Friday:  Primary program is Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is Long 80% Rydex NDX 1x fund.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is Long: 60%  Rydex NDX 2x Fund.  Traders liked Trump's pullout from the Climate pact.  This could have bad ramifications down the line for the country, not so much from the climate effects, but from separating ourselves from our allies.  Our signal has gone fully long.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments:  May 31, 2017 

Current position for Thursday:  Primary program is Short: 37.5% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.    Hot Money program is  Short: 50% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.  High Exposure program is Short: 100% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is  Short: 50% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.  All other programs 100% money market.   After eight days of going higher the NDX pulled back 0.1%. It could continue higher again as the daily NDX changes are hardly budging off the zero line. But we do have a minor short signal and as "covfefe"* as that may sound we are following it.  *Covfefe new word made famous by a late night Donald Trump tweet.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments:  May 30, 2017 

Current position for Wednesday:   All programs 100% money market.  We are holding our flat position. Nothing has changed, but the NDX looks over bought.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments:  May 26, 2017 

Current position for Tuesday:   All programs 100% money market.  The small daily changes continued on Friday as the NDX moved a little higher and added to its gain at the close. The situation remains as it was for Thursday's close though the holiday has a somewhat positive influence, but we remain in the money market another day.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments:  May 25, 2017 

Current position for Friday:   All programs 100% money market.   We moved back into the money market for Friday, closing a strong week for us a day early.  The small daily changes are giving us a slightly better chance of going higher on Friday but the negatives are bringing a lesser chance, but with potential for a larger size drop as shown in our probabilities. Avoiding the confusion we will wait to trade again at Friday's close.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments:  May 24, 2017

Current position for Thursday:  Primary program is Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is Long 80% Rydex NDX 1x fund.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is Long: 60%  Rydex NDX 2x Fund.  We are holding our fully long position. One concern is the nature of our T-index showing that we are in a transition zone moving out of a strong deflationary mode.  This has been a time frame where stocks were mostly flat.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments:  May 23, 2017

Current position for Wednesday:  Primary program is Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is Long 80% Rydex NDX 1x fund.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is Long: 60%  Rydex NDX 2x Fund.  We have a strong signal for Wednesday. The market is in an exceptionally strong uptrend and though it is at levels that usually cause it to turn around, the continued small daily changes can extend the upward cycle for awhile. Ride it while you can.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments:  May 22, 2017 

Current position for Tuesday:   All programs 100% money market.   The market is starting to have larger daily changes which is more likely to bring a change in direction, but for now the small changes dominate and the path is higher. We however, are waiting for a clear long signal to enter on the upside.   Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments:  May 19, 2017 

Current position for Monday:  Primary program is Short: 37.5% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.    Hot Money program is  Short: 50% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.  High Exposure program is Short: 100% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.  All other programs 100% money market.   The NDX extended its recovery for a second day. We reduced our down side exposure to the markets in line with our signal. With the small daily changes holding the market up and Monday's tendency to follow Friday's direction we have only marginal reliability numbers.  The NDX has not been able to put two negative days together for five weeks. Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments:  May 18, 2017

Current position for Friday:  Primary program is Short: 75% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  100% Money market.     Hot Money program is  Short: 100% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.  Retirement program is Short: 60% Rydex Inverse NDX 1x fund. High Exposure program is Short: 100% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is  Short: 50% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.  The appointment of  x-FBI director Robert Muller helped insure an up-day for the markets and the NDX managed to retrace about 32% of the prior day's drop. The disarray in Washington did not go away and heading into the weekend I expect more investors will look to pull some profits out of the danger zone.  The probabilities indicate that there is a good chance for a second drop of over -1% and that should offset the strength we see coming from this small-daily-change market.   Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments:  May 17, 2017

Current position for Thursday:  Primary program is Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is Long 80% Rydex NDX 1x fund.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is Long: 60%  Rydex NDX 2x Fund.  It took a long time for the "chaos that surrounds Trump" to impact the market in a negative way and we will have to watch the size of the daily market changes to get a better idea if the overall market direction is changing to the down side.  I expect a small market adjustment higher for Thursday as is normal with the size of today's drop.  Our Market Structure level has stepped lower also increasing the chance for a positive result.  Our signal is positive and strong. The possibilities are large for major damage to the Republican agenda and the squashing of its elected head. Which should unwind the market gains of this year.  On Tuesday our T-Index moved from deflationary to normal and it continued in the normal direction today.  We will proceed one day at a time as always and step through this new development. Investors get jittery around a week end so I expect more down side over the next few days.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments:  May 16, 2017 

Current position for Wednesday:  Primary program is Long: 37.5% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is 100% money market.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is 100% money market.  The NDX has climbed in 8 of the past 9 days and although it has not gone very far (+1.75) the stealth move just keeps chipping away at new highs.  Once again it is that same "small daily change" phenomenon that is continuing to move the market higher even as chaos rules in Washington.  We reduced our exposure for Wednesday.   Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments:  May 15, 2017

Current position for Tuesday:  Primary program is Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is Long 80% Rydex NDX 1x fund.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is Long: 60%  Rydex NDX 2x Fund.  Although Tuesday's probabilities are little changed from Mondays we have a stronger signal and have moved fully long. Our Market Structure level has stepped lower increasing the chance for a positive result.  Daily changes remain small another positive.   Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments:  May 12, 2017 (probabilities updated 5/13)

Current position for Monday:  Primary program is Long: 37.5% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is 100% money market.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is 100% money market.  Today it was JC Penny's turn to get beat up and it lost -14%.  The small daily changes of the indices are keeping the market up, even with the problems in Washington.  But there are other lurking problems. The biggest one is the world's dependence on the Internet. The internet of 2017 is not like the Internet of 1997, now almost everything depends on it and it is becoming more vulnerable, not for lack of  sophisticated protection, but because bringing down the Internet would set the world back more than 20 years. As more "things" become linked to the internet every part of our lives could be headed for a crash, a crash much more far reaching than a crash of the markets.   Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments:  May 11, 2017

Current position for Friday:  Primary program is Short: 75% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  100% Money market.     Hot Money program is  Short: 100% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.  Retirement program is Short: 60% Rydex Inverse NDX 1x fund. High Exposure program is Short: 100% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is  Short: 50% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.  Today was Macy's turn to get dunked, dropping -17% as retail continues to be beaten by Amazon.  This is a long one way street as long as we have reliable internet, those products that can easily be sold on line will be.  Market Structure level fell a step yesterday as it bounced back lower upon getting close to the transition zone. We have seen a reluctance for the market to go lower under these small daily changes but we see investors now more willing to drop stocks with any sign of poor performance.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments:  May 10, 2017 

Current position for Thursday:  Primary program is Long: 37.5% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is 100% money market.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is Long: 60% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Yesterday HTZ fell about -18%. Today YELP fell over -18% and SNAP followed after the close dropping over -24%.  The bull market is old and problems are simmering under the surface.  In the beginning of a bull market we see jumps not falls. The market is starting to correct with decisive plunges on individual stocks and over time it will spread to the bigger names and averages.  For now our studies indicate that  the direction remains up, and we have moved back partially long for Thursday   Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments:  May 9, 2017

Current position for Wednesday:  All programs 100% Money market.   We do not have a clear direction for Wednesday and all programs were moved into the money market. I do not see any disturbing developments for the market at this time and the long term trend is a mild up-path.  The NDX is however showing some overheating and a small pause would be reasonable.   Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments:  May 8, 2017 

Current position for Tuesday:  Primary program is Long: 37.5% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is 100% money market.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is 100% money market.    We continue to hold our partial long position. The VIX hit a twenty three year low today, there is currently no fear in the markets, but it will come as it always does.   Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments:  May 5, 2017 

Current position for Monday:  Primary program is Long: 37.5% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is 100% money market.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is 100% money market.    We are holding our small long position into Monday.  The NDX seems overheated but daily changes remain small telling me that there is more to come.     Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments:  May 4, 2017 

Current position for Friday:  Primary program is Long: 37.5% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is 100% money market.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is 100% money market.    The NDX closed mostly flat.  Our Market Structure level remains unchanged and the market remains in that positive area with low interest rates and small daily changes.   Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments:  May 3, 2017

Current position for Thursday:  Primary program is Short: 75% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  100% Money market.     Hot Money program is  Short: 100% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.  Retirement program is Short: 60% Rydex Inverse NDX 1x fund. High Exposure program is Short: 100% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is  Short: 50% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.  The Facebook results will most likely influence tomorrow's direction but as always we followed our signal going into the close.  With low interest rates and small daily changes the market remains in an uptrend.  Our Market Structure level is now only one step below the transition level which would bring the Market Structure into a positive posture and would indicate even greater opportunity on the up side, but most of the time the level just falls back into more negative territory.   Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments:  May 2, 2017 

Current position for Wednesday:  Primary program is Long: 37.5% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is 100% money market.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is 100% money market.    We have been on the wrong side of the market news the past few days and with AAPL missing expectations on Iphone sales we could see a drop in the NDX on Wednesday.  The market remains in a positive mode.   Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments:  May 1, 2017 

Current position for Tuesday:  Primary program is Short: 37.5% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.    Hot Money program is  Short: 50% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.   All other programs 100% money market.   The NDX surged, maybe from a second thought on the strong earnings of last week. The GDP is limping along reflecting the local US economy but multinationals have overseas sales which are doing well, bumping their stocks.   AAPL, NFLX and AMZN each gained over 2% pushing the NDX to new highs.  The Dow and New York Stock exchange did not follow along.   Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments:  April 28, 2017

Current position for Monday:  Primary program is Short: 75% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  100% Money market.     Hot Money program is  Short: 100% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.  Retirement program is Short: 60% Rydex Inverse NDX 1x fund. High Exposure program is Short: 100% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is  100% Money market.   Most of the market was lower on Friday with the NDX held up due to strong earnings.  Slower growth than expected for the first quarter should dampen market spirits.  We have taken an aggressive negative position for Monday but daily changes remain small and should buffer and downside.   Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments:  April 27, 2017 

Current position for Friday:  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is Short: 75% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.   All other programs 100% Money market.   The market lunged higher during the last few minutes of the trading day and looked like it may have overshot itself but earnings news from the Tech sector was very positive and that should push the NDX higher. Our programs are mostly in the money market for Friday with the two that are still trading split on direction.  Our Market Structure level is negative and climbing, and once again it is getting close to the transition zone.  Our T-index, was getting close to moving out of its deflationary mode but now continues to remain deflationary.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments:  April 26, 2017 

Current position for Thursday:  Primary program is Long: 37.5% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is 100% money market.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is 100% money market.    The NDX fluttered about the zero line and Trump displayed his tax plan.  As expected it cut corporate taxes a lot, putting the cart before the horse, as the stimulus is needed at the bottom of the food chain.  In that regard, his doubling of the standard deduction is a good thing and aimed in the right place.  Boost the bottom and the money will flow back up into the corporations. Only then should a corporate tax cut be considered.  Meanwhile the market should continue to make gains as the daily changes remain small, corporate earnings are growing and revenues are not doing too bad either.   Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments:  April 25, 2017

Current position for Wednesday:  Primary program is Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is Long 80% Rydex NDX 1x fund.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is Long: 60%  Rydex NDX 2x Fund.  Strong earnings carried the markets higher instead of the pause that we expected.   We are now long and leveraged for Wednesday.  Our Market Structure level remains negative and the daily changes remain small enough to keep the market afloat.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments:  April 24, 2017

Current position for Tuesday:  Primary program is Short: 37.5% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  100% Money market.     Hot Money program is  Short: 50% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.  Retirement program is 100% Money market.  High Exposure program is Short: 100% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is Short: 50% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.     With the NDX hitting new highs over the doubt that Le Pen will win in France and break up the EU, our signal has shifted to the down-side.  The Vix had a big drop and that reflects a rapid emotional shift to a "what me worry?" attitude and that was probably too much too fast.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments:  April 21, 2017 

Current position for Monday:  Primary program is Long: 37.5% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is 100% money market.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is 100% money market.    The market fluttered about the zero line on Friday as we intimated in our last post and closed a tiny bit lower.   For Monday we have a mild up signal.  I expect that the market will be pushed around by outside news, probably from France, over the weekend.   Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments:  April 20, 2017

Current position for Friday:  Primary program is Short: 75% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  100% Money market.     Hot Money program is  Short: 100% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.  Retirement program is Short: 20% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund. High Exposure program is Short: 100% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is  100% Money market.   I expect to see a reversal on Friday and have moved mostly short.  The daily market changes remain small and that could keep the market from going much, if any amount, lower.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments:  April 19, 2017 

Current position for Thursday:  Primary program is Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is Long 80% Rydex NDX 1x fund.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is Long: 60%  Rydex NDX 2x Fund.   IBM took the wind out of the market sales very early on with a miss and closed down almost 5%. The Dow and S&P fell but the NDX regained the prior day's small loss.  We are holding our long position.  Trump lost major media support with the ouster of Bill O'Reilly from Fox News.  But  Kushner may be able to smooth our Trump's rough edges and gain other media support which could help in getting his bills passed.   Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments:  April 18, 2017 

Current position for Wednesday:  Primary program is Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is Long 80% Rydex NDX 1x fund.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is Long: 60%  Rydex NDX 2x Fund.   More on children playing with matches.  Apparently the US "armada" headed to North Korea was not going there at all.  The administration "misspoke" causing the shaky market and never corrected the BS. When a company goes for a loan, the less trustworthy the company the higher the interest rate they must pay. Same for governments expect to see interest rates go higher and the dollar fall. Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments:  April 17, 2017 

Current position for Tuesday:  Primary program is Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is Long 80% Rydex NDX 1x fund.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is Long: 60%  Rydex NDX 2x Fund.   I did not like the market close as the NDX closed at the high of the day.  That generally means there was a blow off of enthusiasm and little will be left over for the next day.  When combined with our strong up-signal probabilities remain positive but mild.  Our signal is formed prior to the close to allow us to place a trade.  Volatility is increasing very slowly so conditions remain positive.  The next few weeks of market may jump around with the saber rattling and bravado of world leaders threatening nuclear holocaust.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.

Comments:  April 13, 2017 

Current position for Monday:  Primary program is Long: 37.5% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is 100% money market.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is 100% money market.    With the Syria bombing causing only minor stock market disruption Trump went on to super  bomb Afghanistan.  The reasons could be the stated ones from the administration or attempts to impress China and intimidate North Korea, or even trying to create a need for more military spending to support his proposed budget. Whatever the actual reason  investors are not yet showing real concern, keeping the market drops to less that a half percent a day on the NDX.  We moved to the money market with our Anticipatory trend program. This could get very ugly.   Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index New long term forecast posted last week.  *New long term forecast posted last week.

Comments:  April 12, 2017 

Current position for Thursday:  Primary program is Long: 37.5% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is 100% money market.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is 60% Rydex NDX 2x fund.     Psychology remains negative but only moderately so.  Investors are not yet frightened enough to cause any more than a dimple on the up-trend.  But things could easily change.  We are holding our position.   Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software. *New long term forecast posted last week.  *New long term forecast posted last week.

Comments:  April 11, 2017 

Current position for Wednesday:  Primary program is Long: 37.5% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is 100% money market.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is 60% Rydex NDX 2x fund.     Sharp plunge in the NDX early in the day with about a 60% recovery by the close.  Fears have kicked up, mostly about North Korea, as two [possibly] dangerous men face off.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software. *New long term forecast posted last week.

Comments:  April 10, 2017 

Current position for Tuesday:  Primary program is Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is Long 80% Rydex NDX 1x fund.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is Long: 60%  Rydex NDX 2x Fund.   The daily changes continue to shrink and T-Bill rates have moved up very slowly for the past month.  Telling us that there is more up-side to this market.  We have a strong up-signal but I do not expect very much in this slow moving environment.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software. *New long term forecast posted last week.

Comments:  April 9, 2017 

Current position for Monday:  Primary program is Long: 37.5% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is 100% money market.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Anticipatory Trend program is 100% money market.    We moved our Anticipatory program to the money market and held all other positions.  The labor participation rate in the US has been falling since the year 2000, with a small rebound since the recession in 2008, but what is most interesting is that this is a world phenomenon and not just a local one due to outsourcing of labor.  More on this as I obtain more information on the subject.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software. *New long term forecast posted this week.

Comments:  April 6, 2017 *New long term forecast posted yesterday.

Current position for Friday:  Primary program is Long: 37.5% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is 100% money market.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Anticipatory Trend program is Short: 50% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.    We held all active positions and moved our Anticipatory trend program from the money market to the Short side.  Daily market changes are less than a quarter the of normal movement we saw over the past 20 years.  With the exception of Wednesday's sour market reaction to the Fed report the market has been acting in a very normal manner with few "event-day" disruptions.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.  *Late posting.

Comments:  April 5, 2017 *New long term forecast posted.

Current position for Thursday:  Primary program is Long: 37.5% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is 100% money market.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Anticipatory Trend program is 100% Money market.   The NDX fell off of new high it made today to close down -0.4%,  The NDX though, continues to do well compared to the S&P, Dow, NYSE index and Russell all down for the past five weeks. The market in general is having trouble maintaining the uptrend.  The economy is in the midst of moving from a deflationary to inflationary mode, but actual inflation is pretty well contained in most sectors. Large retailers remain in the mode of closing stores,  a deflationary condition.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.  

Comments:  April 4, 2017

Current position for Wednesday:  Primary program is Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is Long 80% Rydex NDX 1x fund.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Anticipatory Trend program is Long: 60%  Rydex NDX 2x Fund.   We spent the past two days on the wrong side of a slow oscillating market.  We have now moved fully long. These little moves can easily be disrupted sharply to the downside if any of numerous problems flare.  Korea, Trump, China, any and all could send the market plunging.  We hope there is some warning.   Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.  

Comments:  April 3, 2017

Current position for Tuesday:  Primary program is Short: 75% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  100% Money market.     Hot Money program is  Short: 100% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.  Retirement program is Short: 60% Rydex Inverse NDX 1x fund. High Exposure program is Short: 100% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is  100% Money market.   The current conditions of low interest rates and low volatility support a rising  market, however sometimes the market will still go lower and we attempt to always be on the right side of the probabilities.  Monday's market started out higher quickly fell then turned around going back to almost flat.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.  

Comments:  March 31, 2017 

Current position for Monday:  Primary program is Long: 37.5% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is 100% money market.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Anticipatory Trend program is 100% Money market.   The NDX fell to slightly below flat-line at the close.  Our signal is long but weak and we are only partially invested.  Our Market Structure level is steady and daily changes remain small. Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.  

Comments:  March 30, 2017*late post

Current position for Friday:  All programs 100% Money market.   We do not have enough data for a good projection for Friday. There are mixed inputs that could go either way. Our Market Structure level climbed again but remained negative while the volatility and interest rates remain low and little changed.  We await a more clear signal.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.  

Comments:  March 29, 2017 

Current position for Thursday:  Primary program is Long: 37.5% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is 100% money market.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Anticipatory Trend program is 100% Money market.   The NDX cut through yesterdays high and made a new one.  We have taken a moderate "long" position.  Our Market Structure level has climbed a step (negative short term) while the daily changes and till rate remain low (positive short term).  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.  

Comments:  March 28, 2017

Current position for Wednesday:  All programs 100% Money market.   It looked like the S&P did pull the NDX along on Tuesday.  Nice up-move in this slow moving market, but it gave back a piece of the gains near the close.  It does not look like there is very much more left to the up-side but the market could test Tuesdays highs.    Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.  

Comments:  March 27, 2017

Current position for Tuesday:  Primary program is Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is Long 80% Rydex NDX 1x fund.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Anticipatory Trend program is Long: 60%  Rydex NDX 2x Fund.   After a lower opening the NDX recovered and closed slightly higher.  The S&P should be ready for a bounce and could carry the NDX on Tuesday.  Our signal is strong but the probabilities are not going along.  Our Market Structure level is falling again, supporting the positive outlook.   Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.  

Comments:  March 24, 2017

Current position for Monday:  Primary program is Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is Long 80% Rydex NDX 1x fund.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Anticipatory Trend program is Long: 60%  Rydex NDX 2x Fund.   Healthcare bill is off the table and the administration is moving on.  The market took it in stride and I expect a bounce on Monday.  Our signal has gone full strength long. This week volatility increased only slightly so I do not detect fear.    Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.  

Comments:  March 23, 2017 *updating problem at web host site yesterday, slow posting.

Current position for Friday:  Primary program is Short: 37.5% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  100% Money market.     Hot Money program is  Short: 50% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.  Retirement program is 100% Money market. High Exposure program is Short: 100% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is  100% Money market.   Trump's  inability to quickly pass his health care bill is causing the market to re-think its upward path.  Our signal has turned negative for Friday and we have moved partially short.  Any downside on  Friday could easily move into Monday while firming could enable the uptrend to resume.   Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.  

Comments:  March 22, 2017

Current position for Thursday:  Primary program is Long: 37.5% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is 100% money market.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Anticipatory Trend program is Long: 60% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Good but only partial recovery from Tuesday's drop.  These are not the best conditions for a strong rally but probabilities are positive.   We are holding our position.   Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.  

Comments:  March 21, 2017

Current position for Wednesday:  Primary program is Long: 37.5% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is 100% money market.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Anticipatory Trend program is Long: 60% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   The largest down day in months hit the market Tuesday.  The three main financials JPM, BAC and GS averaged over 4% to the downside.  Probabilities have improved as our Anticipatory Trend has turned long.  We have gone long in that program keeping our exposure unchanged in our other programs. The volatility has been too low for our liking and this will give it a small nudge higher. The Russian links to the administration could have been part of today's scare.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.  

Comments:  March 20, 2017

Current position for Tuesday:  Primary program is Long: 37.5% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is 100% money market.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Anticipatory Trend program is 100% Money market.   The negative situation with our Market Structure is off-set by the continued slight daily market movements. We remain partially long, slightly favoring the up-side, but not expecting any large immediate gains.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.  

Comments:  March 17, 2017

Current position for Monday:  Primary program is Long: 37.5% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is 100% money market.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Anticipatory Trend program is 100% Money market.    Slight market pullback on the close.  We remain partially long as the market continues its slow steady climb.  Our Market Structure level is very negative and daily changes remain very small counter balancing each other.  Our programs are running smoothly with our newest program, the High exposure, High expectations program now up +20.1% year to date.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.  

Comments:  March 16, 2017

Current position for Friday:  Primary program is Long: 37.5% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is 100% money market.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Anticipatory Trend program is 100% Money market.    Our signal weakened and we reduced our exposure to the upside for Friday.  Seems like the market is looking at all news out of, or about, the current administration as fake news, and ignoring it.  Immigration ban, wiretapping, Trump-care, Budget disruption, lots of smoke and no substance, so the market continues without fear.  But where's the beef?  Rising interest rates, volatility or an outside event  will eventually mark the end to this rally.  Very small pull back on Thursday after an early rise.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.  

Comments:  March 15, 2017

Current position for Thursday:  Primary program is Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is Long 80% Rydex NDX 1x fund.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Anticipatory Trend program is Long: 60%  Rydex NDX 2x Fund.   Joyful response to the rate hike. The slight pull back at the end of the day should leave some room for a small up-day on Thursday. We remain long but some downside should come around, or  soon after, the weekend.   Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.  

Comments:  March 14, 2017

Current position for Wednesday:  Primary program is Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is Long 80% Rydex NDX 1x fund.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Anticipatory Trend program is Long: 60%  Rydex NDX 2x Fund.   It looks like the market is expecting a small rate hike as T-Bills have climbed a full quarter percent in the past few weeks.  We are holding our long signal. Our Market Structure level has fallen to nearly the bottom of the range.  This should leave us with fewer strong long days over the next few weeks. Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.  

Comments:  March 13, 2017

Current position for Tuesday:  Primary program is Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is Long 80% Rydex NDX 1x fund.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Anticipatory Trend program is Long: 60%  Rydex NDX 2x Fund.  The average daily change in the NDX over the past seven days was only 0.2%.  this compares to a historical normal of 1.2%, and we have not seen that number in a very long time.  Shrinking volatility means shrinking potential but the good side is lower potential risk.  We are holding our long position another day.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.  

Comments:  March 10, 2017

Current position for Monday:  Primary program is Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is Long 80% Rydex NDX 1x fund.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Anticipatory Trend program is Long: 60%  Rydex NDX 2x Fund.   We are expecting a carryover of Friday's upside for Monday and are fully long. The job gains were strong but not inflation scary.   Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.  

Comments:  March 9, 2017

Current position for Friday:  Primary program is Short: 75% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  100% Money market.     Hot Money program is  Short: 100% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.  Retirement program is Short: 60% Rydex Inverse NDX 1x fund. High Exposure program is Short: 100% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is  100% Money market.   The market danced around the zero line on Thursday closing slightly higher in most cases.  We have reversed our position for Friday.  Probabilities look good for the down side but this is a low volatility, low interest rate market and any downside should be minimal along with the possibility that some positive news could blow the market higher.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.  

Comments:  March 8, 2017

Current position for Thursday:  Primary program is Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is Long 80% Rydex NDX 1x fund.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Anticipatory Trend program is Long: 60%  Rydex NDX 2x Fund.   We are holding our long position into Thursday.  The NDX held on to a small gain as the DOW and S&P posted losses after the oil prices fell 5% and employment showed good gains. This pause in the markets should be enough digestion for a better day on Thursday.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.  

Comments:  March 7, 2017

Current position for Wednesday:  Primary program is Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is Long 80% Rydex NDX 1x fund.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Anticipatory Trend program is Long: 60%  Rydex NDX 2x Fund.   After two days of being short or neutral we have switched back to the fully long side. This is still a low volatility low interest rate market and the predominant direction is higher.  T-bill rates have nearly doubled since the election and that is in part due to the Fed and in part due to lessening confidence in America.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.  

Comments:  March 6, 2017

Current position for Tuesday:  Primary program is Short: 75% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  100% Money market.     Hot Money program is  Short: 100% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.  Retirement program is Short: 60% Rydex Inverse NDX 1x fund. High Exposure program is Short: 100% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is  Short: 50% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.  We now have our Anticipatory trend insync with our other programs. This is helpful towards increasing the probabilities for success.  And the probabilities are strongly one sided and negative.  Expected amplitudes in either direction remain small in line with the recent small daily changes.   Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.  

Comments:  March 3, 2017

Current position for Monday:  Anticipatory Trend program is Short: 50% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.  All other programs 100% Money market.  The market continued its upward path last week, still exhibiting mostly calming behavior.  Possible rate hike this month could slow down the gains.  We pulled back for Monday and will await more useful data.   Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.  

Comments:  March 2, 2017

Current position for Friday:  Primary program is Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is Long 80% Rydex NDX 1x fund.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Anticipatory Trend program is Long: 60%  Rydex NDX 2x Fund.   Our signal got stronger for Friday and we have gone fully long.  SNAP gained 44% on its first day listed but we will have to wait to see if that ton of cash can be turned into a viable company.  I did not buy any.  Our Market Structure level stepped lower, so far the market looks like it can go higher into next week.    Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.  

Comments:  March 1, 2017

Current position for Thursday:  Primary program is Long: 37.5% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is 100% money market.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Anticipatory Trend program is 100% Money market.    The positive response to Trumps speech helped the market to the best gain since early December.  The probabilities from our forecast page show only little expected gain or loss for Thursday.  Our Market Structure level has again come within one step of moving into the positive transition zone.  On the opposite side the 90 day t-bill jumped significantly today and if it continues long enough in that direction it will be detrimental to the markets.  For now we moved the Anticipatory program into the money market along with the conservative program and remain long in the others.    Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.  

Comments:  February 28, 2017

Current position for Wednesday:  Primary program is Long: 37.5% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is 100% money market.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Anticipatory Trend program is Short: 50% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.    Sorry for the late post from yesterday.  We did manage to grab the downside and now most of our programs have returned to the upside except for the anticipatory trend. Trump's speech is tonight so the response is far from certain and a speech is a soft event rather than a hard event which would be a tangible event like the outcome of an election.    Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.  

Comments:  February 27, 2017*late posting

Current position for Tuesday:  Primary program is Short: 75% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  100% Money market.     Hot Money program is  Short: 100% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.  Retirement program is Short: 60% Rydex Inverse NDX 1x fund. High Exposure program is Short: 100% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is  100% Money Market.     Whereas the average daily NDX market change for the last 20 years was 1.25% there has not even been a single day this year, where the market moved by1 percent or more in either direction.  This is a strong positive for the markets especially when combined with low interest rates, however when other conditions align we can and do get "short" signals.  This is where we find ourselves for Tuesday.  Trump will address congress and there is a good chance that the rally will not pause, but instead spike higher as it can when it is event driven.  We don't know what grandiose words he will say to sway the markets,  we are only reading what the market's data is telling us.  And whatever happens Tuesday could easily reverse on Wednesday.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.  

Comments:  February 24, 2017

Current position for Monday:  Primary program is Long: 37.5% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is 100% money market.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Anticipatory Trend program is 100% money market.    The NDX staged a sharp late recovery to close positive and on the high of the day.  We are holding our position on this slow moving freight train.   Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.  

Comments:  February 23, 2017

Current position for Friday:  Primary program is Long: 37.5% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is 100% money market.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Anticipatory Trend program is 100% money market.    The NDX had a small drop on Thursday as the S&P and DJIA  continued higher.  Our signal is now indicating a lean to the upside and we moved partially long overall.  Nothing has really changed regarding the markets behavior, but it has made steady gains which makes it more vulnerable to some outside negative influence, but we still do not see any signs of immediate danger.   Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.  

Comments:  February 22, 2017

Current position for Thursday:  All programs 100% money market.  Closed out all positions on Wednesday's close.  Probabilities are mostly flat. There are currently more US car owners two months or more behind on car payments than anytime since 2009.  They suspect that this is due to granting more credit to more people that have poor credit scores and people buying more than they can pay for. US car sales have been declining for the past two years.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.  

Comments:  February 21, 2017

Current position for Wednesday:  Primary program is Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is Long 80% Rydex NDX 1x fund.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Anticipatory Trend program is Long: 60%  Rydex NDX 2x Fund.  We have moved fully long into this unbelievably well behaved market.  It may get frothy and blow up eventually, but right now it is just making baby steps higher.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.  

Comments:  February 17, 2017

Current position for Tuesday:  Primary program is Long: 37.5% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is 100% money market.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Anticipatory Trend program is 100% money market.    We continue to roll along with the NDX as its small daily changes reduce fear and allow it to go higher.  As long as the changes remain small and interest rates remain low we should see higher highs.    Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.  

Comments:  February 16, 2017

Current position for Friday:  Primary program is Long: 37.5% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is 100% money market.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Anticipatory Trend program is 100% money market.    The NDX closed down just a little, ending the string of nine consecutive up-days.  Our Anticipatory trend program moved to the money market and all other programs continue as before.    Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.  

Comments:  February 15, 2017

Current position for Thursday:  Primary program is Long: 37.5% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is 100% money market.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is Long: 60% Rydex NDX 2x fund.    Our Anticipatory trend program is now also long.  This slow moving market just keeps going higher in very small steps.  If this move is to continue higher it is best that it is taking these small steps and not lunging forward.  We are following our signals. Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.  

Comments:  February 14, 2017

Current position for Wednesday:  Primary program is Long: 37.5% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is 100% money market.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Anticipatory Trend program is 100% money market.    The dynamics remain the same and we are holding our reduced long position. 

 I read about the proposed Trump corporate tax plan in the Financial Times today. The idea of supporting local employment is good in theory, but the plan had some big holes.  Importers would pay tax on the full selling price of the items and not be able to deduct the purchase cost. This is just wrong! Poorly thought out, and terrible for our economy.  Having importers pay a higher tax would be fine but not this. For one, the whole group of stores like the 99c store chain that provides thousands of jobs and inexpensive food for the needy would be greatly hurt, increasing the burden back on the government and the tax payers.  It is a terrible idea that could be fixed with some non political thinking. And this type of tax cut should be implemented over a number of years to allow for the disruptions and job losses that would occur, while allowing US companies to build the manufacturing plants necessary to fill the need. . Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.  

Comments:  February 13, 2017

Current position for Tuesday:  Primary program is Long: 37.5% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 25% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is 100% money market.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Anticipatory Trend program is 100% money market.    NDX had its seventh gain in a row on Monday.  We have reduced our exposure in all but our High Exposure program for Tuesday.  We also have a number of crossed signals for Tuesday. The long term trend remains positive and the small daily changes are helping the market continue to move higher.   Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.  

Comments:  February 10, 2017

Current position for Monday:  Primary program is Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is Long 80% Rydex NDX 1x fund.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Anticipatory Trend program is Long: 60%  Rydex NDX 2x Fund.  Another small- change, positive day, on Friday.  Our Market Structure level did pull back, a step lower as expected.  As it steps lower it should bring some more upside to the market.   Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.  

Comments:  February 9, 2017 *late post

Current position for Friday:  All programs 100% Money market.  Trump's promise of corporate tax relief should keep money in CEO's pockets but do little to help the economy as earnings are already growing at the expense of revenues. This economy grows from the bottom up, not top down.  That did not matter today as the markets gave a bit of applause to the upside.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.  

Comments:  February 8, 2017

Current position for Thursday:  Primary program is Short: 37.5% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Short: 50% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.  All other programs 100% money market.   The market is moving very slowly and retains a fearless quality so the overall direction will be higher with a few small pull backs.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.  

Comments:  February 7, 2017

Current position for Wednesday:  Primary program is Long: 37.5% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is 100% Money market.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is Long: 60%  Rydex NDX 2x Fund.    NDX is running stronger than the other indexes.  We have taken a small long position for Wednesday, the probabilities are positive but small. Our Market Structure is moving closer to neutral and has the potential to turn positive over the next week but that is not very likely.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.  

Comments:  February 6, 2017

Current position for Tuesday:  Primary program is Short: 75% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  100% Money market.     Hot Money program is  Short: 100% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.  Retirement program is Short: 60% Rydex Inverse NDX 1x fund. High Exposure program is Short: 100% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is  Short: 50% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund.     Most indexes closed lower except for the NDX.  For Tuesday we have reversed our direction and are fully short.  The overall conditions favor a continued slow uptrend but markets do not move in only one direction and the probabilities strongly favor the downside for Tuesday.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.  

Comments:  February 3, 2017

Current position for Monday:  Primary program is Long: 37.5% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is 100% Money market.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is  100% Money market.   We are leaning higher for Monday but without the Anticipatory trend on board we are only partially exposed.  The Dow once again closed over 20,000. More new jobs were added last month than expected.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.  

Comments:  February 2, 2017

Current position for Friday:    High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Anticipatory Trend program is Short: 50%  Rydex Inverse NDX 2x Fund. All other programs are in the money market.  Because our programs utilize somewhat different inputs and methodologies they occasionally reach different conclusions about the next days market direction.  This is one of those days, while most of our programs are in the money market because they do not have a strong indication of market direction our Anticipatory trend program has gone short while our more aggressive High exposure program is following the overall tendency of markets to climb under low volatility, low interest rate conditions. Most likely the market will go lower following AMZN's missing earnings expectations and 4% drop in the aftermarket.   Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.  

Comments:  February 1, 2017

Current position for Thursday:  All programs 100% Money market. Apple gave the NDX a big boost. The FED  held off on an interest rate hike.  We moved fully into the money market as our signals flattened. Overall the trend remains higher. We are waiting for a stronger signal to place our trade.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.  

Comments:  January 31, 2017

Current position for Wednesday:  Primary program is Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is Long 80% Rydex NDX 1x fund.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Anticipatory Trend program is Long: 60%  Rydex NDX 2x Fund.  Nothing prior to the close had changed and we held our "fully long" position another day.  After the close AAPL announced great earnings and sales and caused the stock and the aftermarket NDX futures to move higher.  It is always nice to get extra help with our forecasts.  Markets remain calm and overall trend remains up.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.  

Comments:  January 30, 2017

Current position for Tuesday:  Primary program is Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is Long 80% Rydex NDX 1x fund.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Anticipatory Trend program is Long: 60%  Rydex NDX 2x Fund.  We moved back fully long after the Monday dip.  This is the first sign that the financial world is concerned about what is happening in the White House.  The immigration order finally got some investor attention.  Republican law makers may have been able to chuckle at the slew of executive orders spilling off of Trump's desk but when their money is on the line they will pay attention.  Any extended drop in the market will be political cause  for concern, but for now it is  just an isolated day,  I expect to see the markets back in bull mode by tomorrow.   Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.  

Comments:  January 27, 2017

Current position for Monday:  Primary program is Long: 37.5% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is 100% Money market.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is  100% Money market.   Mondays tend to follow Friday's lead, but the market is all but stalled for the past few days though the NDX has crawled a bit higher.  There is a slight positive breeze to this market and we remain partially invested.  All programs have good starting gains.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.  

Comments:  January 26, 2017

Current position for Friday:  Primary program is Long: 37.5% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is 100% Money market.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is  100% Money market.   We pulled back on most of our programs going into Friday.  The market is behaving very well for us as well as for the buy and holds. Our High Exposure (high expectations) program is now up over 10% ytd.  I expect the rally to continue with some spots of sluggishness.  Goog had good revenue growth but sputtered on earnings sending the tech stock lower in the after-market. It should put a small drag on the NDX for Friday.   Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.  

Comments:  January 25, 2017

Current position for Thursday:  Primary program is Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is Long 80% Rydex NDX 1x fund.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Anticipatory Trend program is Long: 60%  Rydex NDX 2x Fund.  Our Market Structure is now at its lowest level and will level off or go higher over the next few days. Either way it should slow or stop major gains. The continued low interest rates and low volatility should also prevent any sizeable declines.  This should be the situation for Friday and Monday.  So far the market players are cheering the President on, but he appears to be shooting from the hip and one of these shots could be cause for a market reversal once we see enough of an increase in volatility or interest rates. For the near term at least it looks like the rally will continue.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.  

Comments:  January 24, 2017

Current position for Wednesday:  Primary program is Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is Long 80% Rydex NDX 1x fund.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Anticipatory Trend program is Long: 60%  Rydex NDX 2x Fund.  Our Market Structure continues to fall and is provided us with a strengthened "long" signal.  The market volatility also remains very low.  All our programs are fully long to their expected extent.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.  

Comments:  January 23, 2017

Current position for Tuesday:    High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Anticipatory Trend program is Long: 60%  Rydex NDX 2x Fund. All other programs are in the money market.  NDX volatility is now in the lowest 1% of the last 24 years of trading.  Slow.  This is a calm environment and conducive to a slow rising market.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.  

Comments:  January 20, 2017

Current position for Monday:  Anticipatory Trend program is Long: 60%  Rydex NDX 2x Fund. All other programs are in the money market.  Very slow market.  DC protests were contained and the markets continued their ho-hum characteristics. Our Market Structure level continues lower so over the next few weeks it should try to make its way back to neutral.  The path back should prevent the market from moving very much in either direction.   Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.  

Comments:  January 19, 2017

Current position for Friday:    High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Anticipatory Trend program is Long: 60%  Rydex NDX 2x Fund. All other programs are in the money market.  More of nothing for volatility.  If the inauguration on Friday is uneventful this slow motion could continue for awhile. Our Market Structure level fell another step, a positive next day indicator, but most of our programs are in the money market and probabilities are looking somewhat mixed.   Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.  

Comments:  January 18, 2017

Current position for Thursday:  Primary program is Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is Long 80% Rydex NDX 1x fund.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Anticipatory Trend program is Long: 60%  Rydex NDX 2x Fund.  Our Market Structure level fell away from the transition zone and provided us with a strengthened "long" signal.  The market volatility remains very low going into the inauguration on Friday.  Netflix posted very strong numbers on new subscribers as streaming media continues its take over from TV and the movies.    Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.  

Comments:  January 17, 2017

Current position for Wednesday:  Primary program is Long: 37.5% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is 100% Money market.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is Short: 50% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund .   Our Market Structure level held, and we have held our position going into Wednesday.  The market continues to move in very small steps.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.  

Comments:  January 13, 2017

Current position for Tuesday:  Primary program is Long: 37.5% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is 100% Money market.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.  Anticipatory Trend program is Short: 50% Rydex Inverse NDX 2x fund .   Our Market Structure level climbed again.  Now it is just below the transition area and could possibly go long over the next few days.  Our Anticipatory trend program is now negative and we moved it into the inverse NDX fund.  Everything else remains as it was and we remain mostly in a partial long position.  Monday is Martin Luther King day and the markets are closed.  Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.  

Comments:  January 12, 2017

Current position for Friday:  Primary program is Long: 37.5% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is 100% Money market.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Anticipatory Trend program is 100% money market.   Our Market Structure level climbed another step towards neutral as the NDX finally pulled back.  Our signal continues to remain somewhat positive, market lacks enthusiasm but that could change quickly.  Anticipatory trend turned negative at the close.   Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.  

Comments:  January 11, 2017

Current position for Thursday:  Primary program is Long: 37.5% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is 100% Money market.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Anticipatory Trend program is 100% money market.   Our Market Structure level climbed a step and the NDX closed at the high of the day. Both things adding a negative influence on the next days market.  Still our reduced signal remained positive.  NDX now up seven days in a row.     Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.  

Comments:  January 10, 2017

Current position for Wednesday:  Primary program is Long: 37.5% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 50% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is 100% Money market.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Anticipatory Trend program is 100% money market.   We moved cautiously long for Wednesday.  The small daily changes are helping the rally to continue to overcome some negative bias we see from our Market Structure.  NDX now up six in a row.     Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.  

Comments:  January 9, 2017

Current position for Tuesday:  All programs 100% Money market.  Mixed market on Monday with the NDX up and the rest of the market indices lower. I am not getting a strong signal and will remain in the money market. Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.  

Comments:  January 6, 2017

Current position for Monday:  All programs 100% Money market.  A strong opening week for both ourselves and the markets.  Our new high exposure program did best and closed the week up +5.2%.  Risk is directly related to market exposure and this program is our most exposed with overall leverage about 1.95 x that of the NDX.  It is able to compensate for some of the risks by being diversified over time. You will notice that our forecast page has been updated to show long term compound annual rates of return for all programs that have at least a year of real time history. The table also shows how long the programs have been offered and actually run with real money as well as the level of exposure risk over that time period.  For comparison the S&P 500 had an exposure risk of about 85%.  Three of our long running programs have double digit annual returns and our low exposure conservative program is showing strong results greatly outperforming bonds. Our Charts have also been updated. For Monday our signals turned flat. There should be more upside to this market as volatility remains low and the Dow 20,000 is calling.  Our Market Structure level remains negative.   Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.    

Comments:  January 5, 2017

Current position for Friday:  Primary program is Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is Long 80% Rydex NDX 1x fund.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Anticipatory Trend program is Long: 50%  Rydex NDX 2x Fund.  The NDX has continued its rally and the volatility has remained low, my expectation is for the rally to carry into Friday and if that happens then probably Monday.  This would not be too unreasonable as the rest of the market has taken a break today and The NDX is taking tiny steps. Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.  

Comments:  January 4, 2017

Current position for Thursday:  Primary program is Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is Long 80% Rydex NDX 1x fund.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Anticipatory Trend program is Long: 50%  Rydex NDX 2x Fund.  The good start to the year should persist as long as the volatility remains low.  We are holding our fully long position.   Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.  

Comments:  January 3, 2017

Current position for Wednesday:  Primary program is Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Long/money market program is  Long: 75% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Hot Money program is  Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund.   Retirement program is Long 80% Rydex NDX 1x fund.  High Exposure program is Long: 100% Rydex NDX 2x fund. Anticipatory Trend program is Long: 50%  Rydex NDX 2x Fund.  If you missed it we have added a new program to our groups. It is the Anticipatory Trend program that we have been using as one of our decision making components since early 2012  and often mentioned in our commentary for almost 5 years.  This new program was added because it uses fewer inputs and has a history of making gains with low draw-downs.  See side panel for description details.  The first day of the year was positive. Traders are expecting more stimulus via tax cuts.  We are fully long.      Please pick up your free password so you can read about our longer-term forecast, and download the free "T" index software.  

For earlier comments made in 2016 

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For earlier comments made in 2013